|

Citizens’ trust in the ECB still in tatters – Commerzbank

Households do not seem to really believe that the ECB will be able to bring inflation back to its target of 2% in the medium term, economists at Commerzbank say.

Consumers expect medium-term inflation above 2%

Even though the ECB's communication has improved in recent years, this does not appear to have increased public trust in the central bank. 

The ECB is still experiencing a crisis of trust, which may impair the effectiveness of its monetary policy. 

The citizens of the Euro countries do not expect a return to the 2% target in the medium term and are acting in line with their expectations.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD trims losses, still near 0.6900

AUD/USD remains well on the defensive, adding to Wednesday’s pullback and trading close to the key 0.6900 contention zone ahead of the opening bell in Asia. Discouraging prints from the Australian labour market report have weighed on the Aussie, which has remained unable to take advantage from the marked pullback in the Greenback.

USD/JPY slides back below 158.00 as USD reverses post-CPI gains

USD/JPY extends the previous day's pullback from a three-week high, attracting follow-through selling and sliding below 158.00 during Thursday's Asian session. Traders remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. The US Dollar, meanwhile, reverses Wednesday's hot CPI-led gains to April 2025 highs as US bond yields retreat on China bond-buying talk, further pressuring the pair.

Gold: Upside remains capped by $4,200

Gold regains the smile and leaves behind three consecutive days of losses, advancing to the $4,170 region per troy ounce on Thursday. The precious metal’s recovery comes amid the fresh offered stance in the Greenback and declining US Treasury yields while investors remain cautious ahead of the Fed’s Warsh speech on Friday.

Bitcoin rebounds to $82,000 as PPI hits 6.3%, nearly $1B liquidated
Bitcoin (BTC) recovered near $82,000 on Thursday after briefly falling below $80,000, paring losses triggered by hotter-than-expected US inflation data. September PPI inflation rose 6.3% YoY, exceeding forecasts of 5.3% and marking its second-highest level since November 2022. Core PPI inflation climbed to 5% annually, above expectations of 4.4%.
The Iran war will eventually end. Tariffs won't. Here's the problem
Two cost shocks are in the September Consumer Price Index (CPI), and they have different half-lives. Energy is up 20.4% on the year and accounts for about 1.3 points of the 3.7% headline, and that shock reverses when Oil does: Brent was back at its pre-war price on July 1 and above $100 again by the end of the month, after the ceasefire collapsed on July 8.
Everyone's dumping Gold after hot US inflation. Here's why $4,100 could be a floor, not a cliff
Gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from a sharp sell-off triggered by hotter-than-expected United States (US) inflation data released on Wednesday. The precious metal briefly plunged toward $4,073 as investors increased their bets on further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes before recovering as US Treasury yields and the US Dollar (USD) reversed their initial gains.