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China: Slowdown in the activity data continues in May - ING

According to Iris Pang, economist at ING, if the slowdown in the activity data continues in May and June, China's GDP growth could fall below 6.0% YoY in 2Q19.

Key Quotes

“Industrial production and retail sales slowed for different reasons

  • Fixed asset investments grew 6.1% year-on-year, year-to-date in April from 6.3% in March. This was probably hit by slower progress in completing investments in planned infrastructure projects and slow manufacturing investment as a result of the trade war.
  • Industrial production slowed sharply to 5.4% YoY from 8.5% YoY. The slowdown is partly a result of the slower execution of infrastructure projects and partly the continuous disruption of ride-hailing apps on the production of automobiles.
  • Retail sales growth dropped to 7.2% YoY from 8.7% YoY. The slower growth is broad-based. This is worrying as April was a month when China's stock market rose amid good progress in trade talks, so consumer sentiment should have been better.”

Author

Sandeep Kanihama

Sandeep Kanihama

FXStreet Contributor

Sandeep Kanihama is an FX Editor and Analyst with FXstreet having principally focus area on Asia and European markets with commodity, currency and equities coverage. He is stationed in the Indian capital city of Delhi.

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