|

CAD/CHF stalling at resistance ahead of Canadian CPI and Retail Sales

  • Canadian CPI and Retail Sales are scheduled on Friday at 13.30 GMT.
  • CAD/CHF is in a compression pattern on the daily chart. 

The CAD/CHF cross is trading at around 0.7351 as Trump announced that he would impose tariffs on China worth $50-60 billion. China promised they would retaliate imposing tariffs as well on US goods, with escalating tensions about a trade word undermining financial markets. 

CAD/CHF daily chart:

The CAD/CHF has formed a double bottom at the 0.7250 level and in the last four days, the cross gained almost 2%. While both the RSI and the MACD indicators are displaying a positive divergence there is still no significant bull run that would confirm that the bull reversal has taken place just yet. However, sellers have only owned the market on  March 12 and 13 with only two significant bear days, but after that, it was mainly buyers buying the dip which lead to the bull breakout of the last 3 days of trading. Technically the CAD/CHF has found resistance at the trendline after a three-day jump.  

Tomorrow will see Canadian CPI and retail sales releases. Any deviation can lead to a rather big reaction. A negative or neutral reading could see the cross back to 0.7300 support or even to 0.7250 in the coming days. On the flip side, if the bulls win, resistance is seen at 0.7430 previous swing high, followed by the 0.7550 supply zone. No Swiss macro-data is expected in the next 24 hours. Also worth noting is the potential wedge formation which is taking shape in the daily chart

CAD/CHF 1-hour chart:

The 1-hour chart is displaying an expanding triangle formation which often leads to substantial move once the pattern is broken. MACD would suggest that a correction down is underway. 

Author

Flavio Tosti

Flavio Tosti

Independent Analyst

 

More from Flavio Tosti
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks sidelined below 1.1600

EUR/USD remains on the back foot in the latter part of the NA session on Thursday, now attempting a consolidative theme in the sub-1.1600 region. A more cautious market mood, driven by the escalating conflict in the Middle East, together with broad-based strength in the US Dollar, is favouring the continuation of the leg lower in spot.

GBP/USD stays offered near 1.3340

GBP/USD fades Wednesday’s uptick and trades with decent losses in the 1.3340 zone in the latter part of Thursday’s session. Cable’s weakness, alongside the rest of the risk complex, follows the strong performance of the Greenback amid intense geopolitical jitters.

Gold: further weakness could challenge $5,000

Gold comes under fresh selling pressure on Thursday, slipping back below the $5,100 mark per troy ounce. Persistent strength in the US Dollar (USD) is preventing the yellow metal from building a meaningful recovery, even as markets remain risk-averse amid the deepening conflict in the Middle East.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP hold weekly gains despite US-Iran war

The cryptocurrency market is gaining strength on Thursday, building on Wednesday's upswing, which saw Bitcoin reach a weekly high above $74,000. Ethereum and Ripple are moderating their recent gains amid uncertainty stemming from the escalating war in the Middle East.

Two PMIs, two Chinas

China’s economic data are often treated with a degree of caution by global investors. The challenge is not necessarily that the numbers are incorrect, but that they can describe very different parts of a vast and complex economy. Nowhere is that more evident than in China’s PMIs.

Ripple tests recovery strength amid steady ETF inflows, growing retail interest

Ripple (XRP) continues to demonstrate notable resilience as the cryptocurrency market navigates the persistent war in the Middle East after the United States (US) and Israel attacked Iran on Saturday.