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Bulls' momentum fades in E-mini Micro Nasdaq at 23,368 pivot—Bears unwind micro-pivot rally into session close

High-volume flip at micro 5 (23,271) in the E-mini Micro Nasdaq sparks rapid unwind through successive pivots, underscoring multi-timeframe supply and demand dynamics.

1. Price action recap

  • NY open breakout (August 4): Following clears above micro 1 (23,023) and micro 2 (23,089), bulls steam-rolled through micro 5 (23,271) into 23,368.
  • Asian and London tests (August 5): Price probed above the 23,368 pivot but could not sustain—every retest met fresh supply, leading to a notable reversal.
  • Volume and momentum flip: A spike in volume at the failed 23,368 break coincided with the TTM Squeeze histogram flipping red, marking the shift from bullish to bearish control.

2. Bearish unwind through micro pivots

  • Short entry signature: The reversal at 23,368 aligned with our "short at micro 5" trade signature—bears immediately targeted lower micro pivots.
  • Sequential targets hit:
    1. Micro 4 → 23,195 (first target)
    2. Micro 3 → 23,142 (second target)
  • Current positioning: As of print, price stabilises around micro 2 (23,089), eyeing a close that will set the tone for tomorrow's opening range.

Micro E-mini Nasdaq day trading setup August 5

3. Multi-timeframe forecast integration

  • Daily pivot context: The 50% retracement of the 23,593–22,056 range (~22,825–22,850) remains the balance line—today's swing shows how far extended moves can reverse once supply/demand flips.
  • Micro pivot alignment: Short-term 3-min pivots (23,271 → 23,195 → 23,142) rode atop daily structure, delivering clear entry and exit cues.
  • Trend confluence:
    • Bullish scenario (invalidated): A sustained break above 23,368 would have set up further gains toward 23,500+.
    • Bearish scenario (in play): Failure at micro 5 pivot flagged a high-probability unwind, with next attention on 22,916.50 and 22,820 demand levels.

Micro E-mini daily chart August 5

4. Structural takeaways

  • Footprints of major players: Sharp reversals at well-defined pivots reflect institutional order flow stepping in at known supply/demand zones.
  • Plan ahead of price: Combining long-term pivots (daily/weekly) with intraday micro pivots yields a roadmap, allowing traders to anticipate potential flip zones and effectively bracket risk.
  • Framework cohesion: Our supply & demand framework and six pillars guide tie these timeframes together, pre-mapping zones where price is likely to accelerate or reverse.

Price structure continues to guide high-probability setups. Monitor the 23,089–23,142 channel into tomorrow's open as the next battleground for bulls and bears.

Author

Denis Joeli Fatiaki

Denis Joeli Fatiaki

Independent Analyst

Denis Joeli Fatiaki possesses over a decade of extensive experience as a multi-asset trader and Market Strategist.

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