|

Breaking: Australia April unemployment rate +6.2 pct, s/adj (Reuters poll: +8.3)

The Aussie payrolls data had been indicating that around 1 million had already been rendered inactive. Today's official employment and unemployment statistics have been held in high anticipation and the data has finally arrived as follows: 

Australian jobs data

  • Australia April employment -594.3k s/adj (Reuters poll: -575.0k) - Bearish.
  • Australia April unemployment rate +6.2 pct, s/adj (Reuters poll: +8.3) – Less bearish. 
  • Australia April full-time employment -220.5k s/adj vs 6.4K prir. - Bearish.
  • Australia April participation rate +63.5 pct, s/adj (Reuters poll: +65.2 pct) Bearish.

ABS says

  • ABS says underemployment rate rose 4.9 pts to 13.7% in April.
  • ABS says monthly hours worked in all jobs decreased 163.9 million hours to 1,625.8 million hours.
  • ABS says around 489,800 people left the labour force, limiting rise in unemployment.
  • ABS says unemployment increased by 104,500 people to 823,300.
  • ABS says unusual number of employed and unemployed people leaving the labour force resulted in an unprecedented fall in the participation rate.
  • ABS says was a high number of people without a job who didn’t or couldn’t actively look for work or weren’t available for work.
  • ABS says around 2.7 million people either left employment or had their hours reduced between March and April.

FULL REPORT

AUD reaction 

AUD has been mixed on the data with something for both the bears and bulls (Unemployment rate not as bad as expected). In some time after the event, enough fr traders to digest the abnormalities in the report, AUD has taken a decisively bearish path, falling some 26 pips.

Prior to the data, in European and US trade, AUD/USD fell from 0.6480 to end the day around 0.6450 via 0.6524 the low.  The pair sat at 0.6456 ahead of the release. AUD/NZD had been preserving its post-RBNZ gains, touching a six-month high before the event. (AUD/NZD extending the RBNZ RBA playoff-rally before key data). AUD/JPY had been playing out its risk correlating status and trading under pressure: AUD/JPY struggles around 0.69 the figure, bears in control.

COVID-19 second wave fears and trade wars are an inevitable weight for the currency to bear. More on that here China reports 12 new asymptomatic coronavirus cases and AUD/USD falls towards the bottom of the week's range, bearish bias prevails.

Description of The Unemployment Rate

The Unemployment Rate released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labour force. If the rate hikes, this indicates a lack of expansion within the Australian labour market. As a result, a rise leads to weaken the Australian economy. A decrease of the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the AUD, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).

Author

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).