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BOE's Ramsden: Structural shocks to the economy from Brexit can’t be offset by monetary policy

BOE Deputy Governor David Ramsden, during a scheduled speech in Cambridge, was noted saying that structural shocks to the economy from Brexit can't be offset by monetary policy.

Key quotes:

   •  Weak productivity remains a key consideration of monetary policy
   •  MPC views weakness and uncertainty of UK productivity as a key consideration for monetary policy
   •  Pace of productivity influences what happens to inflation
   •  Most recent data show signs of productivity growth rising in the second half of 2017
   •  Still no confirmation that productivity pickup is sustained in the near-term
   •  UK business investment has been unusually weak relative to past recoveries
   •  MPC's judgement is that productivity growth will settle at just over 1% over the next three years
   •  MPC's view is that the economy's speed limit is likely to be around 1½%
   •  There are significant risks in both directions to the outlook for productivity
   •  Naturally lower productivity growth, and dampening effect of Brexit are risks to productivity
   •  A clearer transition path and future trading arrangements post-Brexit, could reduce uncertainty
   •  Latest evidence from Bank's Decision Maker Panel Survey suggests impact of Brexit holding back business investment growth may be less in 2018 than 2017

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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