|

BoE's Bailey: The UK's needs, not tariffs and trade, will be key driver for UK rates

Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey noted late on Thursday that the primary drivers behind the BoE's main reference rate remains the economic needs of the United Kingdom (UK), not external drivers such as the Trump administration's tariff policies.

Key highlights

Raising the UK's potential growth rate critical.

We take a gradual and careful approach as the economy is hard to read.

Spend a lot of time examining risks from market fragilities, including bonds.

Not useful to ask if dollar will remain reserve currency, may see some rebalancing but not anywhere near dollar losing its status.

Rate cuts uncertainty prevalent.

UK labour market data pretty much in line with our expectations.

Evidence on United Kingdom is in line with our expectations.

United Kingdom issues are key drivers of policy.

UK needs, not tariffs and trade, will be key driver for UK rates.

Strengthening in food inflation but not alone in that.

Slowing wage increase trend still remains.

Less volatile segments of United Kingdom inflation are gradually decreasing, very slowly.

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds gains near 1.3300, NFP data eyed

GBP/USD gains traction to near 1.3300 in the European session on Thursday. The British Pound strengthens against the US Dollar as the UK's likely next Prime Minister, Andy Burnham, has eased market concerns by pledging strict fiscal discipline. The US Nonfarm Payrolls data for June will take center stage later on Thursday.


EUR/USD grinds higher toward 1.1400 ahead of US NFP

EUR/USD ticks higher toward 1.1400 in the early European trading hours on Thursday. However, the pair lacks bullish conviction as traders eagerly await the release of the crucial US Nonfarm Payrolls report for a fresh directional impetus.

Gold extends gains on weaker USD; limited upside potential amid Fed bets, ahead of US NFP

Gold hits a fresh daily top heading into the European session, and looks to build on its steady intraday ascent amid a modest US Dollar downtick. However, elevated US Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations, along with geopolitical risks, act as a tailwind for the buck, keeping the bullion confined within the previous day's broader range. Traders also seem reluctant and await the release of the closely watched US monthly employment details before placing aggressive directional bets.

Ripple and Stellar build on recovery as traders turn cautiously bullish

Ripple and Stellar extend recovery as improving market sentiment supports a rebound. XRP trades above $1.05 while XLM climbs past $0.199. Traders should remain cautious, as mixed on-chain and derivatives data indicate a modest bullish bias, and further upside may depend on sustained buying momentum.

Nonfarm Payrolls set to grow by over 100K in June, reinforcing bets of upcoming Fed rate hikes

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Nonfarm Payrolls data for June on Thursday at 12:30 GMT. Investors expect NFP to rise by 110K following three consecutive months of surprisingly strong increases. Investors are pricing in a hawkish Federal Reserve policy outlook with the new Chairman Kevin Warsh at the helm.

Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.