|

BOC’s Wilkins: At time of rate hikes we didn't think growth pace was sustainable

More comments from the Bank of Canada (BOC) Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins, from her speech to the Money Marketeers at NY University, via Reuters.

During periods of uncertainty like today, a cautious approach to monetary policy may be prudent.

"Caution has its limits"; there are complex trade-offs, including those related to financial stability.

"Uncertainty is not a reason for paralysis in decision making".

Monetary policy may respond to negative shocks more aggressively than usual when near the effective lower bound.

The policy is asymmetric in that it responds more aggressively to negative shocks than to positive shocks.

One reason for caution in Canada is greater uncertainty about the strength of the policy transmission mechanism.

Higher household debt has likely heightened the sensitivity of spending to rate increases; difficult to know by how much.

Another reason for caution is wanting to avoid having to reverse policy abruptly in the future.

We will be closer to the effective lower bound more often than in the past because of lower neutral interest rate.

Bank particularly focused on data on how wages, potential output are progressing, and effects of two earlier rate hikes.

There are trade-offs when it comes to monetary policy, micro, macroprudential measures help most on financial stability.

There was no sense at the time of rate hikes that we thought the pace of growth at the time was sustainable.

Recent OSFI rules are good measures but warrants watching impact.

Prudent for the central bank to take uncertainty about inflation seriously and watch the data.

The idea of a 'hot or not' economy not really embedded in our thinking.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to positive bias above 0.7100; lacks bullish conviction

AUD/USD trades with a positive bias for the second straight day, holding above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Friday as softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the back foot. Furthermore, hawkish RBA Governor Bullock's comments boost rate hike bets and support the Aussie. However, the Fed's hawkish outlook, along with geopolitical uncertainties, limits USD losses and caps the pair.

USD/JPY approaches 158.00 as Japanese Yen resumes decline

USD/JPY is resuming its upside in the European session on Friday, refreshing two-week highs and nearing 158.00. The Japanese Yen extends losses, despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) expected rate hike to 1.25% and hawkish Governor Ueda's comments, as two surprise dissents against the rate hike weigh on it.

Gold: Upside remains capped by $4,400

Gold adds to the optimism seen in the second half of the week, trading with decent gains around the $4,370 region per troy ounce on Friday. The yellow metal’s advance finds traction in declining crude oil prices, and manages to offset the continuation of the move higher in the US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Why altcoin season isn't coming back — and what stole its capital
If, after two years of being frozen in ice, Katara and Sokka woke you up to the crypto market, it would seem like 100 years have passed. With Bitcoin soaring to record highs just over a year ago, everyone expected a routine altcoin season, where investors take profits from the top crypto to chase higher returns in altcoins.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The BoJ raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks. Governor Kazuo Ueda said the policy phase had changed.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.