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Australia’s Unemployment Rate rises to 4.1% in March vs. 4.2% expected

Australia’s Unemployment Rate rose to 4.1% in March from 4.0% in February (revised from 4.1%), according to the official data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on Thursday. The figure came below the market consensus of 4.2%.

Furthermore, the Australian Employment Change arrived at 32.2K in March from -57.5K in February (revised from -52.8K), compared with the consensus forecast of 40K.

The participation rate in Australia increased to 66.8% in March, compared to 66.7% in February (revised from 66.8%). Meanwhile, Full-Time Employment increased by 15K in the same period from a fall of 43.8K in the previous reading (revised from -35.7K). The Part-Time Employment increased by 17.2K in March versus -13.7K prior (revised from -17K).

Market reaction to the Australia’s employment data

At the time of writing, the AUD/USD pair is trading 0.23% lower on the day to trade at 0.6355.

Employment FAQs

Labor market conditions are a key element to assess the health of an economy and thus a key driver for currency valuation. High employment, or low unemployment, has positive implications for consumer spending and thus economic growth, boosting the value of the local currency. Moreover, a very tight labor market – a situation in which there is a shortage of workers to fill open positions – can also have implications on inflation levels and thus monetary policy as low labor supply and high demand leads to higher wages.

The pace at which salaries are growing in an economy is key for policymakers. High wage growth means that households have more money to spend, usually leading to price increases in consumer goods. In contrast to more volatile sources of inflation such as energy prices, wage growth is seen as a key component of underlying and persisting inflation as salary increases are unlikely to be undone. Central banks around the world pay close attention to wage growth data when deciding on monetary policy.

The weight that each central bank assigns to labor market conditions depends on its objectives. Some central banks explicitly have mandates related to the labor market beyond controlling inflation levels. The US Federal Reserve (Fed), for example, has the dual mandate of promoting maximum employment and stable prices. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank’s (ECB) sole mandate is to keep inflation under control. Still, and despite whatever mandates they have, labor market conditions are an important factor for policymakers given its significance as a gauge of the health of the economy and their direct relationship to inflation.

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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