|

Australian Dollar climbs despite weak trade balance data, NFP in focus

  • AUD/USD rises for the second consecutive day, trading near 0.6514; up 1.20% this week.
  • Australian trade surplus narrows, weaker exports partly offset by upbeat China PMI.
  • US Initial Jobless Claims climb to 247K, DXY drops to 98.35 before recovering.
  • Fed speeches due later Thursday; US NFP report on Friday to guide next moves.


The Australian Dollar (AUD) extends its rally against the US Dollar (USD) for a second day on Thursday, brushing aside weak domestic data as the Greenback loses ground following a string of disappointing US economic releases.

At the time of writing, the AUD/USD pair is trading around 0.6514, near the previous week's high, and is up nearly 1.30% so far this week. The 0.6500 mark remains a key technical barrier that has capped upside attempts since mid-May. With the pair now holding slightly above this level, traders are watching closely for a potential breakout that could confirm a shift in short-term momentum.

Data released earlier on Thursday showed that Australia's trade surplus in goods narrowed to AUD 5.41 billion in April 2025, down from AUD 6.89 billion in March and below market expectations of AUD 6.10 billion. The weaker print came as exports declined by 2.4%, while imports rose 1.1%, reflecting a slowdown in outbound shipments alongside steady demand for overseas goods. Still, the Aussie found some support from upbeat Chinese data, with the Caixin Services PMI rising to 51.1 in May from 50.7 the previous month. The stronger print helped alleviate concerns about slowing global growth and provided a modest boost to risk sentiment.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of six major currencies, weakened initially after soft economic data, with Initial Jobless Claims rising to 247,000, above the expected 235,000 and marking the highest reading since October. The DXY fell to 98.35 following the release but quickly reversed course, paring all losses to trade near 98.81 at the time of writing.

Looking ahead, attention turns to speeches from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials Harker and Schmid later on Thursday, which may offer fresh clues on the policy outlook. Meanwhile, Friday’s US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report will be key for gauging the strength of the labor market and shaping expectations for future rate cuts.

Australian Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies today. Australian Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.20%-0.21%0.63%-0.09%-0.34%-0.17%0.18%
EUR0.20%0.04%0.82%0.15%-0.14%-0.03%0.41%
GBP0.21%-0.04%0.84%0.10%-0.16%-0.07%0.36%
JPY-0.63%-0.82%-0.84%-0.71%-1.01%-0.88%-0.45%
CAD0.09%-0.15%-0.10%0.71%-0.30%-0.17%0.26%
AUD0.34%0.14%0.16%1.01%0.30%0.09%0.54%
NZD0.17%0.03%0.07%0.88%0.17%-0.09%0.45%
CHF-0.18%-0.41%-0.36%0.45%-0.26%-0.54%-0.45%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers strength above 1.1750 as Fed rate cut prospects pressure US Dollar

The EUR/USD pair trades in positive territory around 1.1775 during the early Asian session on Monday. The prospect of a US Federal Reserve rate cut in 2026 weighs on the US Dollar against the Euro. Markets brace for US President Donald Trump to nominate a Fed chair to replace Jerome Powell, whose term ends in May. 

GBP/USD edges lower near 0.7400, eyes Fed rate cut outlook

GBP/USD edges lower after a gap-up open, trading around 0.7410 during the Asian hours on Monday. However, the pair may gain ground as the US Dollar faces challenges, which could be attributed to growing expectations of two more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026.

Gold retreats from record highs, heads toward $4,550

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high at $4,550 earlier in the Asian session on Monday and eases toward $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the New Year break. The US Dollar bearish bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Ethereum Annual Price Forecast: ETH poised for growth in 2026 amid regulatory clarity and institutional adoption

Ethereum lost 12% of its value in 2025, declining from $3,336 at the beginning of the year to $2,930 as of the third week of December, a stark contrast from 2024's 48% gain. But that percentage doesn't do justice to the wild year ETH had in 2025.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.