|

AUD/USD trades with mild gains above 0.6650, all eyes on US NFP data

  • AUD/USD posts modest gains around 0.6670 in Friday’s early Asian session. 
  • The softer US employment data this week triggered the Fed rate cut expectation in September.
  • RBA’s Bullock said the central bank won’t hesitate to hike again if inflation remains sticky. 

The AUD/USD pair trades with mild gains near 0.6670 on Friday during the early Asian trading hours. The growing speculation about the US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut and softer US economic data weigh on the US Dollar (USD) and create a tailwind for AUD/USD. Later on Friday, the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for May will be in the spotlight. 

The softer US economic data this week spurred the Fed rate cut expectation in September. Traders are now pricing in a nearly 68% odds chance of a rate cut for the September meeting, up from 50% at the beginning of the week, according to the CME FedWatch tool. 

The number of Americans claiming jobless benefits for the week ended May 31 rose 8,000 to 229,000 from 221,000 in the previous week, higher than the forecast of 220K, according to the Labour Department on Thursday. Earlier this week, the US Manufacturing PMI came in weaker than the expectation, dropping to 48.7 in May from 49.2 in April.  

On the other hand, the hawkish tone from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock on Wednesday has provided some support to the Australian Dollar (AUD). RBA’s Bullock said the central bank Plan A is to remain "data-driven,"  indicating the RBA will maintain its neutral stance for the time being. However, stickier than expected inflation would prompt the central bank to raise interest rates again. 

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6669
Today Daily Change0.0021
Today Daily Change %0.32
Today daily open0.6648
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6645
Daily SMA500.6571
Daily SMA1000.6561
Daily SMA2000.6539
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6665
Previous Daily Low0.6626
Previous Weekly High0.668
Previous Weekly Low0.6591
Previous Monthly High0.6714
Previous Monthly Low0.6465
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6641
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.665
Daily Pivot Point S10.6628
Daily Pivot Point S20.6608
Daily Pivot Point S30.6589
Daily Pivot Point R10.6666
Daily Pivot Point R20.6685
Daily Pivot Point R30.6705

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.