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AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Falling wedge breakout confirmed, but risk-off may play spoil sport

AUD/USD closed yesterday at 0.7112, confirming a falling wedge breakout on the daily chart. 

While the bear-to-bull trend change has opened the doors to 0.72, the gains may remain elusive if the treasury yield curve inversion and the resulting recession fears continue to keep risk assets on the defensive. 

That said, the breakout is backed by the 14-day relative strength index's (RSIs) bullish break above 50.00. So, the probability of the AUD rising to 0.72 looks strong. The bullish case, however, would weak if potential risk-off sends the pair below 0.7065 (Monday's low). 

Daily chart

Trend: Cautiously bullish

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7121
Today Daily Change9 pips
Today Daily Change %0.13
Today daily open0.7112
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7088
Daily SMA500.7128
Daily SMA1000.7158
Daily SMA2000.7214
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7118
Previous Daily Low0.7065
Previous Weekly High0.7168
Previous Weekly Low0.7057
Previous Monthly High0.7285
Previous Monthly Low0.7053
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7098
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7085
Daily Pivot Point S10.7079
Daily Pivot Point S20.7045
Daily Pivot Point S30.7026
Daily Pivot Point R10.7132
Daily Pivot Point R20.7151
Daily Pivot Point R30.7185

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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