|

AUD/USD stumbles below 0.7100 after Aussie’s PMI, solid US jobs data

  • The Aussie could not hold to its gains above 0.7100, outweighed by a strong US Dollar.
  • US data showed the tightness of the labor market underpinned the greenback.
  • Australia’s Services and Composite PMIs came more robust than the previous month’s data, though they remained in contractionary territory.

AUD/USD refreshed seven-month highs at around 0.7157 but collapsed as the US Dollar (USD) remained bid during Thursday’s session after market participants’ reaction to the US Federal Reserve (Fed) decision to lift rates weakened the greenback across the board. Nevertheless, the US Dollar stages a comeback, as shown by the AUD/USD exchanging hands at 0.7072 at the time of writing.

Upbeat US labor market data boosted the US Dollar

The AUD/USD dropped in the session, even though investors’ sentiment was upbeat. The US Federal Reserve decision hurt the US Dollar, as the Fed, led by Jerome Powell, stated that the US central bank has made progress curbing stubbornly high inflation amidst a tight labor market. Data revealed by the US Department of Labor (DoL) showed that Initial Jobless Claims for the last week ending on January 28 came at 183K below estimates of 200K, suggesting that companies had continued to hire personnel.

Therefore, the AUD/USD dwindled as traders brace for January’s US Nonfarm Payrolls report, with consensus at 185K, below the previous month’s reading of 223 K. Any readings above the consensus would keep the Fed on its tightening cycle. Still, Powell said that terminal rates are around the corner.

Regarding Australia, its economic calendar featured the Judo Bank Services and Composite PMI on its Final readings, at 48.6 and 48.5, respectively. Although the readings came higher than the previous month’s data, they remained in contractionary territory, portraying a gloomy scenario for the Australian Dollar (AUD).

What to watch?

The US economic calendar will feature employment data led by the Nonfarm Payrolls report, alongside the ISM Non-Manufacturing report, would update the US economy status.

AUD/USD Key Technical Levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7074
Today Daily Change-0.0059
Today Daily Change %-0.83
Today daily open0.7133
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6985
Daily SMA500.6842
Daily SMA1000.6664
Daily SMA2000.6811
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7145
Previous Daily Low0.7036
Previous Weekly High0.7143
Previous Weekly Low0.696
Previous Monthly High0.7143
Previous Monthly Low0.6688
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7103
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7078
Daily Pivot Point S10.7065
Daily Pivot Point S20.6997
Daily Pivot Point S30.6957
Daily Pivot Point R10.7173
Daily Pivot Point R20.7213
Daily Pivot Point R30.7281

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin trades in compression as 2026 begins with structure still unresolved

BTC/USD remains locked in a two-way structure, with micro supply-and-demand levels guiding early-year price behaviour.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).