|

AUD/USD struggles near 1-1/2 week lows, FOMC in focus

   •  Dovish comments by RBA’s Lowe exert some fresh downward pressure. 
   •  A pickup in the USD demand/weaker commodities adds to the selling bias.
   •  Market focus remains firmly on the highly anticipated FOMC decision.

The AUD/USD pair struggled to gain any meaningful traction and remained within striking distance of 1-1/2 week lows touched earlier today.

The pair extended this week's rejection slide from 100-day SMA and weakened farther below the 0.7600 handle on the back of dovish comments by RBA Governor Philip Lowe, warning that the current pace of wages growth is not compatible with the central bank's goal of keeping inflation at 2.5%. 

Lowe further reaffirmed that the likely next move on interest rates will be an increase, but such a thing would probably not come in the near-term and hence, did little to inspire the bulls. 

Adding to this, a modest pickup in the US Dollar demand, supported by an uptick in the US Treasury bond yields exerted some additional downward pressure on the major.

This coupled with a weaker tone around commodity space, especially copper, which tends to undermine demand for the commodity-linked Australian Dollar, further collaborated towards keeping a lid on the pair's recovery attempt. 

Meanwhile, investors also seemed reluctant to place any aggressive bets and preferred to wait on the sidelines ahead of today's key event risk - the highly anticipated FOMC decision, which would play a key role in determining the pair's next leg of directional move.

Technical levels to watch

Immediate support is now pegged near the 0.7540-35 region, below which the pair is likely to accelerate the fall towards challenging the key 0.7500 psychological mark. On the upside, momentum above 0.7575-80 immediate hurdle might lift the pair back above the 0.7600 handle towards retesting the 0.7625-30 supply zone. 
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, back below 1.1800

EUR/USD now loses some upside momentum, returning to the area below the 1.1800 support as the Greenback manages to regain some composure following the SCOTUS-led pullback earlier in the session.

GBP/USD off highs, recedes to the sub-1.3500 area

Following earlier highs north of 1.3500 the figure, GBP/USD now faces some renewed downside pressure, revisiting the 1.3490 zone as the US Dollar manages to regain some upside impulse in the latter part of the NA session on Friday.

Gold climbs to weekly tops, approaches $5,100/oz

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place at the end of the week, now hitting fresh weekly highs and retargeting the key $5,100 mark per troy ounce. The move higher in the yellow metal comes in response to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and modest losses in the US Dollar.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound as risk appetite improves

Bitcoin rises marginally, nearing the immediate resistance of $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, hold key support levels as bulls aim to maintain marginal intraday gains.

Week ahead – Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.