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AUD/USD struggles for direction, consolidates above 0.7000 mark amid stronger USD

  • AUD/USD lacked any firm direction and witnessed good two-way price moves on Wednesday.
  • Aggressive Fed rate hike bets, a weaker risk tone underpinned the USD and acted as a headwind.
  • Tuesday’s hawkish RBA meeting minutes extended support to the aussie and helped limit losses.

The AUD/USD pair seesawed between tepid gains/minor losses through the mid-European session and now seems to have stabilized in neutral territory, around the 0.7020 region.

Following an early uptick to a one-week high, the AUD/USD pair witnessed modest intraday pullback from the vicinity of mid-0.7000s on Wednesday amid the emergence of some US dollar dip-buying. Fed Chair Jerome Powell struck a more hawkish tone on Tuesday and said that he will back interest rate increases until prices start falling back toward a healthy level. The comments reaffirmed market bets for a more aggressive policy tightening by the Fed and assisted the USD to stall its recent sharp decline from a two-decade high.

Investors also remain worried that the Russia-Ukraine war and the latest COVID-19 lockdowns in China would hit the global economic growth. This was evident from a generally weaker tone around the equity markets, which further benefitted the safe-haven greenback and drove flows away from the perceived riskier aussie. Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of Australia, in the minutes of its last meeting, signalled that a bigger interest rate hike is still possible in June, which, in turn, helped limit the losses for the AUD/USD pair.

Spot prices showed some resilience below the 0.7000 psychological mark. This, in turn, warrants some caution for bearish traders and before positioning for the resumption of the recent downfall witnessed 
over the past one month or so. Market participants now look forward to the US housing market data - Building Permits and Housing Starts. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader market risk sentiment, will influence the USD price dynamics and allow traders to grab short-term opportunities around the AUD/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.701
Today Daily Change-0.0018
Today Daily Change %-0.26
Today daily open0.7028
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7095
Daily SMA500.7293
Daily SMA1000.7243
Daily SMA2000.7267
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7041
Previous Daily Low0.6966
Previous Weekly High0.7074
Previous Weekly Low0.6828
Previous Monthly High0.7662
Previous Monthly Low0.7054
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7012
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6995
Daily Pivot Point S10.6982
Daily Pivot Point S20.6937
Daily Pivot Point S30.6907
Daily Pivot Point R10.7057
Daily Pivot Point R20.7087
Daily Pivot Point R30.7132

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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