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AUD/USD struggles for a firm direction, stuck in a narrow band above 0.6700 mark

  • AUD/USD remains confined in a range and is influenced by a combination of diverging forces.
  • The subdued USD demand offers some support, though recession fears seem to cap the Aussie.
  • Traders also prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key FOMC policy meeting next week.

The AUD/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 0.6670-0.6665 area, or a one-week low and seesaws between tepid gains/minor losses on Thursday. The pair holds steady above the 0.6700 mark through the early part of the European session, awaiting a fresh catalyst before the next leg of a directional move.

The downside for the AUD/USD pair, meanwhile, remains cushioned amid subdued US Dollar demand and optimism over the easing of COVID-19 restrictions in China. That said, growing worries about a deeper global economic downturn act as a headwind for the risk-sentiment Aussie. Traders also seem reluctant to place aggressive directional bets amid the uncertainty over the Fed's rate hike path.

It is worth mentioning that the markets have been pricing in a greater chance of a relatively smaller 50 bps Fed rate hike move in December. The incoming positive US macro data, however, suggested that the economy remained resilient and fueled speculations that the Fed might lift rates more than projected. This leads to a goodish rebound in the US Treasury bonds yields and offers support to the USD.

Hence, the focus will remain glued to the highly-anticipated FOMC monetary policy meeting on December 13-14. In the meantime, the mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution before positioning for a firm near-term direction. This, in turn, supports prospects for an extension of the range-bound price action around the AUD/USD pair as traders look to the US Initial Jobless Claims for some impetus.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6724
Today Daily Change-0.0003
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open0.6727
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6712
Daily SMA500.6513
Daily SMA1000.6683
Daily SMA2000.6916
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6742
Previous Daily Low0.6669
Previous Weekly High0.6845
Previous Weekly Low0.664
Previous Monthly High0.6801
Previous Monthly Low0.6272
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6714
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6697
Daily Pivot Point S10.6683
Daily Pivot Point S20.6639
Daily Pivot Point S30.661
Daily Pivot Point R10.6757
Daily Pivot Point R20.6786
Daily Pivot Point R30.683

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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