|

AUD/USD slides to fresh monthly lows on broad US dollar strength, targets 0.7200

  • AUD/USD prints a fresh three-week low at 0.7262.
  • Downbeat market sentiment boosts the demand for US dollars.
  • AUD/USD awaits the FOMC meeting to resume its direction.

During the European session, the AUD/USD reached a peak of 0.7321. However, as market sentiment deteriorated and American traders got to their desks, the AUD/USD dipped below 0.7300, pushing the pair to a three-week low at 0.7262. The AUD/USD is trading at 0.7284 at the time of writing, down 0.05% on the day.

US stocks fall while the greenback rises, underpinned by higher bond yields

In the New York session, US stock indexes are posting losses between 0.32% and 1.21%. The US Dollar Index is on the right foot, rising 0.41% on the day, currently at 93.24, underpinned by higher yields. The 10-year benchmark rate is at 1.368%, up to three basis points.

In the US economic docket, the Consumer Sentiment of the University of Michigan was released. The sentiment improved to 71.0 in September but remained below the 72.2 expected. The Delta strain has dampened the consumer sentiment, lowering the economic forecasts for the third quarter as economic activity slowed down.

The week ahead: FOMC Meeting and RBA Minutes

The Federal Open Market Committee will hold its September meeting. A lousy employment report and moderate inflationary pressures could delay bond taper announcement until November’s meeting. Contrarily, rising PPI and a stellar Retail Sales report could potentially prompt the Fed to take action at the following week’s meeting.  

Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of Australia will reveal the minutes of their last meeting on September 21.

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The AUD/USD pair is trading well below its main daily moving averages in the daily chart, suggesting that sellers are in charge. The first support level would be 0.7200. In case of a break below the latter, the next demand area would be the 2021 low at 0.7100. A breach of that level could motivate sellers to push the price towards the psychological 0.7000.

On the other hand, buyers would need to push the price  towards the 50-day moving average at 0.7342 to reclaim control.

The Relative Strength Index is at 41.18, heading lower, supporting the bearish bias.

KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS TO WATCH

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7284
Today Daily Change-0.0003
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open0.7287
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7325
Daily SMA500.735
Daily SMA1000.7511
Daily SMA2000.7606
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7348
Previous Daily Low0.7274
Previous Weekly High0.7469
Previous Weekly Low0.7345
Previous Monthly High0.7427
Previous Monthly Low0.7106
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7302
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7319
Daily Pivot Point S10.7258
Daily Pivot Point S20.7229
Daily Pivot Point S30.7184
Daily Pivot Point R10.7332
Daily Pivot Point R20.7377
Daily Pivot Point R30.7406

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold aims to regain the ground lost

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).