|

AUD/USD slides to fresh monthly lows on broad US dollar strength, targets 0.7200

  • AUD/USD prints a fresh three-week low at 0.7262.
  • Downbeat market sentiment boosts the demand for US dollars.
  • AUD/USD awaits the FOMC meeting to resume its direction.

During the European session, the AUD/USD reached a peak of 0.7321. However, as market sentiment deteriorated and American traders got to their desks, the AUD/USD dipped below 0.7300, pushing the pair to a three-week low at 0.7262. The AUD/USD is trading at 0.7284 at the time of writing, down 0.05% on the day.

US stocks fall while the greenback rises, underpinned by higher bond yields

In the New York session, US stock indexes are posting losses between 0.32% and 1.21%. The US Dollar Index is on the right foot, rising 0.41% on the day, currently at 93.24, underpinned by higher yields. The 10-year benchmark rate is at 1.368%, up to three basis points.

In the US economic docket, the Consumer Sentiment of the University of Michigan was released. The sentiment improved to 71.0 in September but remained below the 72.2 expected. The Delta strain has dampened the consumer sentiment, lowering the economic forecasts for the third quarter as economic activity slowed down.

The week ahead: FOMC Meeting and RBA Minutes

The Federal Open Market Committee will hold its September meeting. A lousy employment report and moderate inflationary pressures could delay bond taper announcement until November’s meeting. Contrarily, rising PPI and a stellar Retail Sales report could potentially prompt the Fed to take action at the following week’s meeting.  

Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of Australia will reveal the minutes of their last meeting on September 21.

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The AUD/USD pair is trading well below its main daily moving averages in the daily chart, suggesting that sellers are in charge. The first support level would be 0.7200. In case of a break below the latter, the next demand area would be the 2021 low at 0.7100. A breach of that level could motivate sellers to push the price towards the psychological 0.7000.

On the other hand, buyers would need to push the price  towards the 50-day moving average at 0.7342 to reclaim control.

The Relative Strength Index is at 41.18, heading lower, supporting the bearish bias.

KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS TO WATCH

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7284
Today Daily Change-0.0003
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open0.7287
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7325
Daily SMA500.735
Daily SMA1000.7511
Daily SMA2000.7606
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7348
Previous Daily Low0.7274
Previous Weekly High0.7469
Previous Weekly Low0.7345
Previous Monthly High0.7427
Previous Monthly Low0.7106
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7302
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7319
Daily Pivot Point S10.7258
Daily Pivot Point S20.7229
Daily Pivot Point S30.7184
Daily Pivot Point R10.7332
Daily Pivot Point R20.7377
Daily Pivot Point R30.7406

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.