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AUD/USD slides further below mid-0.7100s amid a broad-based USD strength

  • AUD/USD came under renewed selling pressure on Monday amid a pickup in the USD demand.
  • The prevalent risk-on mood also did little to lend any support to the perceived riskier aussie.
  • The downside is likely to remain cushioned as the focus remains on the FOMC policy decision.

The AUD/USD pair extended its steady intraday descent through the early part of the European session and dropped to a fresh daily low, around the 0.7140-35 region in the last hour.

The pair struggled to capitalize on last week's strong recovery move from sub-0.7000 levels or the lowest level since November 2020 and met with a fresh supply on Monday. The US dollar was back in demand amid hawkish Fed expectations and was seen as a key factor that exerted some downward pressure on the AUD/USD pair.

Investors seem convinced that the Fed would tighten its monetary policy sooner rather than later to contain stubbornly high inflation. The market expectations were reaffirmed by Friday's data, which showed that the headline CPI accelerated to the highest level since 1982 and the core CPI recorded the sharpest rise since mid-1991.

In the meantime, the USD bulls seemed rather unaffected by a softer tone surrounding the US Treasury bond yields. Even the prevalent risk-on environment also did little to lend any support to the perceived riskier aussie. This, in turn, favours bearish traders and support prospects a further intraday downside for the AUD/USD pair.

That said, investors might prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the highly-anticipated FOMC monetary policy decision, scheduled to be announced on Wednesday. Given that the money markets have been pricing in the possibility for an eventual liftoff in May 2022, the outcome should provide a fresh directional impetus to the AUD/USD pair.

Even from a technical perspective, the two-way price move witnessed over the past four trading sessions points to indecision over the AUD/USD pair's near-term trajectory. This makes it prudent to wait for a strong follow-through selling before placing aggressive bearish bets amid absent relevant market moving economic releases from the US.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7138
Today Daily Change-0.0034
Today Daily Change %-0.47
Today daily open0.7172
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7175
Daily SMA500.7315
Daily SMA1000.7315
Daily SMA2000.7484
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7184
Previous Daily Low0.7131
Previous Weekly High0.7188
Previous Weekly Low0.6995
Previous Monthly High0.7537
Previous Monthly Low0.7063
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7164
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7152
Daily Pivot Point S10.7141
Daily Pivot Point S20.711
Daily Pivot Point S30.7089
Daily Pivot Point R10.7194
Daily Pivot Point R20.7215
Daily Pivot Point R30.7246

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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