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AUD/USD: Sidelined despite horrible Aussie Building Permits

  • AUD/USD is in stasis near 0.770 after Monday's 0.8% rise.
  • Australia's Building Permits tanked in January, while Current Account surplus rose in Q4.
  • RBA could jawbone the AUD, which recently hit a three-year high.

The dismal Aussie Building Permits data released soon before press time fails to elicit a bearish reaction from the Aussie dollar, leaving AUD/USD sidelined near 0.7770. 

Approvals tanked 19.4% month-on-month in January – a big drop compared to the 3% contraction expected versus December's 10.9%.

Another data revealed Australia's Current Account surplus, or the difference between capital inflows and capital reduction, widened to A$ 14.5 billion in the fourth quarter, from the preceding quarter's A$ 10 billion, beating the forecast of A$13.1 billion. 

AUD/USD's sideways churn near 0.7770 indicates that both bulls and the bears are unwilling to lead the price action ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) rate decision due at 3:30 GMT.

The central bank is expected to leave interest rates unchanged and express concerns regarding the recent rise in bond yields and the Aussie dollar's strength. 

"Just as rising yields threaten the recovery, so does a strong currency. AUD/USD hit a three-year high last week, and verbal intervention would be an easy way to halt the rise," BK Asset Management's Kathy Lien noted in her daily analysis. 

Australia's 10-year bond yield rose roughly 80 basis points to 1.91% in February, tracking the US yields higher. The surge in global government bond yields destabilized the equity markets last week, sending the dollar higher on Thursday and Friday. 

The RBA took on the bond markets on Monday, buying $4 billion worth of bonds, marking a big rise from the usual purchases worth $2 billion in a bid to stem the rally in yields. The 10-year yield fell by over 20 basis points on Monday. 

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.777
Today Daily Change-0.0003
Today Daily Change %-0.04%
Today daily open0.7773
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7761
Daily SMA500.7719
Daily SMA1000.7506
Daily SMA2000.7292
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7787
Previous Daily Low0.7706
Previous Weekly High0.8008
Previous Weekly Low0.7692
Previous Monthly High0.8008
Previous Monthly Low0.7562
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7756
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7737
Daily Pivot Point S10.7723
Daily Pivot Point S20.7674
Daily Pivot Point S30.7642
Daily Pivot Point R10.7805
Daily Pivot Point R20.7837
Daily Pivot Point R30.7886

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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