|

AUD/USD eases from highs and nears 0.6700 in hesitant markets

  • AUD/USD eases to 0.6715 after rejection at 0.6740 earlier on Tuesday.
  • The US Dollar regains lost ground as investors await key US labour releases later this week.
  • In Australia, the services sector's activity figures and the monthly CPI will attract traders' focus.

Australian Dollar’s recovery has been capped at the 0.6740 area on Tuesday, and the pair retreated during the European session to trade at the 0.6715 area at the time of writing, practically flat on the daily chart.

The Aussie is giving away gains on Tuesday as the US Dollar strengthens following Monday’s reversal. Investors are reluctant to take directional bets on the US Dollar ahead of a string of key US unemployment figures due later this week, which might help clarify the US Federal Reserve’s near-term path.

US data released on Monday showed that manufacturing activity contracted at the fastest pace in the last 14 months, as measured by the ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index, which sent the US Dollar tumbling across the board.

US data strengthens Fed doves' views

December's ISM Manufacturing PMI dropped to 47.9, from 48.2 in November, against market expectations of a slight improvement to 48.3. New orders remained well within contraction figures while prices kept growing at a steady pace, altogether, painting a grim picture of the outlook of factory activity in the US.

Furthermore, comments from the Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari leaned to the dovish side, warning about the risks of higher unemployment. These remarks were taken as a sign that the Fed might be forced to cut rates more than once this year. Not the most supportive message for the US Dollar in that context.

In Australia, the hot consumer inflation figures seen in December have cemented market expectations that the RBA might be the first major central bank to hike 1 rates after the recent global easing cycle. In this context, Tuesday's Australian S&P Global Services PMI, and the monthly Consumer Price Index, due on Wednesday, will be observed with particular interest to confirm those views.

Economic Indicator

S&P Global Services PMI

The Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), released on a monthly basis by S&P Global, is a leading indicator gauging business activity in Australia’s services sector. The data is derived from surveys of senior executives at private-sector companies from the services sector. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month and can anticipate changing trends in official data series such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), employment and inflation. A reading above 50 indicates that the services economy is generally expanding, a bullish sign for the Australian Dollar (AUD). Meanwhile, a reading below 50 signals that activity among service providers is generally declining, which is seen as bearish for AUD.

Read more.

Next release: Tue Jan 06, 2026 22:00

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: -

Previous: 51

Source: S&P Global

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Solana extends correction despite ETF inflows, RWA adoption

Solana (SOL) price edges below $70 extending its losses for the fourth straight day this week. The institutional demand for Solana is building, with steady inflows so far this week and Morgan Stanley’s amended S-1 filing for a Solana-focused Exchange-Traded Fund.

The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.