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AUD/USD retreats from 2-week tops, turns neutral around 0.6170-65 region

  • AUD/USD quickly reversed an early dip to sub-0.6100 level on upbeat Chinese PMIs.
  • The USD benefitted from concerns over coronavirus crisis and capped further gains.

The AUD/USD pair struggled to capitalize on its goodish intraday bounce and quickly retreated around 40-50 pips from two-week tops, levels beyond the 0.6200 round-figure mark.

The pair quickly reversed an early Asian session dip to the 0.6080 region and rallied over 140 pips in reaction to upbeat Chinese macro data, showing a sharp rebound in manufacturing sector activity. In fact, the official Chinese Manufacturing PMI for March surpassed even the most optimistic estimates and jumped back in the expansion territory.

Adding to this, China's Services PMI also bettered market expectations and moved back above the 50 levels and underpinned the China-proxy Australian dollar. This comes on the back of a massive $2.2 trillion US stimulus package, which remained supportive of a further recovery in the global risk sentiment and benefitted perceived riskier currencies, including the aussie.

Despite the latest optimism, persistent worries about the economic fallout from the coronavirus pandemic continued lending some support to the US dollar's perceived safe-haven status. This eventually kept a lid on any strong follow-through gains, rather prompted some selling at higher levels and thus, warrants some caution before placing fresh bullish bets.

Moving ahead, market participants now look forward to the US economic docket – featuring the release of Chicago PMI and Conference Board's Consumer Confidence index – in order to grab some short-term trading opportunities. Meanwhile, the key focus will remain on developments surrounding the coronavirus saga.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6182
Today Daily Change0.0013
Today Daily Change %0.21
Today daily open0.6169
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6204
Daily SMA500.6499
Daily SMA1000.6685
Daily SMA2000.6766
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6185
Previous Daily Low0.6112
Previous Weekly High0.62
Previous Weekly Low0.57
Previous Monthly High0.6775
Previous Monthly Low0.6434
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6157
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.614
Daily Pivot Point S10.6126
Daily Pivot Point S20.6082
Daily Pivot Point S30.6052
Daily Pivot Point R10.6199
Daily Pivot Point R20.6228
Daily Pivot Point R30.6272

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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