|

AUD/USD recovers from multi-week low ahead of second-tier Aussie data

  • AUD/USD pulls back from the seven-week low marked on Thursday.
  • Doubts over phase-one deal keep the Aussie under pressure, US Thanksgiving restricted the losses.
  • Traders wait for Australia’s HIA New Home Sales, Private Sector Credit amid less active markets.

AUD/USD pulls back from October 17 low to 0.6770 amid initial Friday trading in Asia. Pessimism surrounding the trade relations between the United States (US) and China recently weighed on the market sentiment. Investors look for second-tier data from Australia, amid less volatile market hours, for fresh impulse.

The US passage of Hong Kong law received wide criticism from China and Hong Kong. However, the market reaction to the same was confined due to the Thanksgiving Day holiday in the US. Also, comments from China’s State Council that the dragon nation will properly resolve trade frictions, will step up punishment for intellectual property infringement and push for imports of high-quality agricultural products and services seems to have played their part.

With this, markets rushed to risk-safety and bought the Japanese yen (JPY) and Gold as they are considered traditional safe-havens.

October month HIA New Home Sales and Private Sector Credit from Australia are immediate catalysts to watch for the Aussie pair traders. While the housing market data is expected to recover to 6.6% from 5.7% prior, the credit statistics could also follow the suit if matching +0.3% forecast versus +0.2% previous figure on the monthly basis.

After the data, the market will concentrate on how the US traders respond to the latest risk aversion during their half-day active session.

Technical Analysis

A two-week-old falling trend line and 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) limit the pair’s immediate upside around 0.6800/05 while mid-October low near 0.6720 becomes the tough adjacent support to watch during further declines.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6769
Today Daily Change-0.0008
Today Daily Change %-0.12
Today daily open0.6777
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6835
Daily SMA500.6806
Daily SMA1000.6827
Daily SMA2000.6926
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6792
Previous Daily Low0.6771
Previous Weekly High0.6835
Previous Weekly Low0.678
Previous Monthly High0.693
Previous Monthly Low0.667
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6779
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6784
Daily Pivot Point S10.6768
Daily Pivot Point S20.6759
Daily Pivot Point S30.6747
Daily Pivot Point R10.6789
Daily Pivot Point R20.6801
Daily Pivot Point R30.681

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD weakens as US jobs data trims Fed rate cut bets

The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory for the third consecutive day near 1.1860 during the early European session on Thursday. Traders will keep an eye on the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims data. On Friday, the attention will shift to the US Consumer Price Index inflation report. 

GBP/USD bullish outlook prevails above 1.3600, UK GDP data looms

The GBP/USD pair gains ground near 1.3635, snapping the two-day losing streak during the early European session on Thursday. The preliminary reading of UK Gross Domestic Product for the fourth quarter will be closely watched later on Thursday. The UK economy is estimated to grow 0.2% QoQ in Q4, versus 0.1% in Q1. 

Gold remains on the defensive below two-week top; lacks bearish conviction amid mixed cues

Gold sticks to modest intraday losses through the Asian session on Thursday, though it lacks follow-through selling and remains close to a nearly two-week high, touched the previous day. The commodity currently trades above the $5,070 level, down just over 0.20% for the day, amid mixed cues.

UK GDP set to post weak growth as markets rise bets on March rate cut

Markets will be watching closely on Thursday, when the United Kingdom’s Office for National Statistics will release the advance estimate of Q4 Gross Domestic Product. If the data land in line with consensus, the UK economy would have continued to grow at an annualised pace of 1.2%, compared with 1.3% recorded the previous year. 

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

Sonic Labs’ vertical integration fuels recovery in S token

Sonic, previously Fantom (FTM), is extending its recovery trade at $0.048 at the time of writing, after rebounding by over 12% the previous day. The recovery thesis’ strengths lie in the optimism surrounding Sonic Labs’ Wednesday announcement to shift to a vertically integrated model, aimed at boosting S token utility.