AUD/USD Price Forecast: Posts new high for 2024 but diverging bearishly with RSI

AUD/USD has posted a new high for the year, and could extend higher.
It is showing bearish divergence with RSI so there is a risk of a pull back evolving.

Joaquin Monfort FXStreet

AUD/USD reaches a new high for 2024 at 0.6839 on Thursday, after the leg higher that began at the September 11 lows extends. It has since edged back down marginally to just above the 0.6800 mark.

AUD/USD Daily Chart

Price is showing mild bearish divergence with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator (red dashed lines on chart above). This happens when the price reaches a new high but the RSI does not. The non confirmation is a bearish sign as it indicates mild underlying weakness. It suggests AUD/USD is at risk of pulling back.

If a correction evolves it is likely to find support at around 0.6800 (July high), 0.6755 or 0.6698 (August 22 swing low).

AUD/USD is in a short-term uptrend, however, since the September 11 low and given it is a principle of technical analysis that “the trend is your friend” it will probably continue higher eventually – despite the bearish divergence with RSI. A break above the 0.6839 yearly high would confirm a continuation of the uptrend to a target at the 0.6870 level (December 2023 high).

Author

Joaquin Monfort

FXStreet

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

EUR/USD weakens below 1.1900, USD remains firm

EUR/USD has slipped back into its downtrend, drifting below the 1.1900 support as the US Dollar’s recovery keeps gathering traction. Indeed, the Greenback’s push higher gathered pace after President Trump named Kevin Warsh as Jerome Powell’s successor and US Producer Prices rose more than expected in December.

GBP/USD retreats further, threatens 1.3700

Selling pressure remains on the rise, dragging GBP/USD back towards three-day lows around 1.3720-1.3710 at the end of the week. Cable’s retracement reflects a firmer rebound in the Greenback as investors digest Trump’s announcement of the next Fed chair.

Gold remains offered just above $5,000

Gold is extending its pullback, managing to trim part of its strong losses and regain the $5,000 mark and beyond on Friday. The precious metal’s severe drop comes amid broad-based profit-taking across the commodity space, alongside a firmer US Dollar and mixed US Treasury yields.

Stellar deepens correction, slipping to 3-month low as risk-off mood persists

Stellar continues to trade in the red, slipping below $0.20 on Friday, a level not seen since mid-October. Bearish sentiment intensifies amid falling Open Interest and negative funding rates in the derivatives market. On the technical side, weakening momentum indicators support further correction in XLM.

Microsoft sell-off etches $400 billion hole in market, second highest on record

Microsoft's (MSFT) post-earnings cratering on Thursday sent other indices into pullback mode despite the narrow nature of its weakness.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple deepen sell-off as bears take control of momentum

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple continued their corrections on Friday, posting weekly losses of nearly 6%, 3%, and 5%, respectively. BTC is nearing the November lows at $80,000, while ETH slips below $2,800 amid increasing downside pressure.