|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Trades in the red, but eyes fourth straight monthly gain

  • AUD/USD trades in the red amid overbought signals on the daily chart. 
  • The pair still appears set to end the month on a positive note.

AUD/USD is currently trading largely at 0.7173, representing a 0.17% decline on the day, having hit a multi-month high of 0.7197 on Wednesday. 

Despite the pullback, the pair is still up 4% on a month-to-date basis. The Aussie dollar looks set to end higher for the fourth straight month, having rallied by 6%, 2.4% and 3.57% in April, May, and June, respectively. 

The four-month winning streak is the longest since 2009 and has opened the doors for the test of a 50-month simple moving average hurdle, currently at 0.7279. 

Supporting the bullish case is the 14-month relative strength index, which has crossed above 50.00 and is hovering at the highest level since early 2018. 

However, a convincing break above the 50-month SMA may remain elusive for some time, as the 14-day RSI is now reporting overbought conditions with an above-70 print. As such, a pullback to the ascending 10-day SMA, currently at 0.7114, cannot be ruled out. 

Monthly chart

Trend: Bullish

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7181
Today Daily Change-0.0006
Today Daily Change %-0.08
Today daily open0.7187
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7028
Daily SMA500.691
Daily SMA1000.6592
Daily SMA2000.6695
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7197
Previous Daily Low0.7148
Previous Weekly High0.7184
Previous Weekly Low0.6972
Previous Monthly High0.7065
Previous Monthly Low0.6648
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7178
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7167
Daily Pivot Point S10.7158
Daily Pivot Point S20.7129
Daily Pivot Point S30.7109
Daily Pivot Point R10.7207
Daily Pivot Point R20.7226
Daily Pivot Point R30.7256

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD keeps bullish vibe, first upside barrier emerges above 1.1800

The EUR/USD pair trades in positive territory around 1.1755 during the early European trading hours on Friday. The European Central Bank kept rates unchanged at its December policy meeting, and its outlook suggested less urgency for further cuts, which has provided some support to the Euro against the US Dollar. 

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple enter the New Year with breakout hopes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple entered the new year trading at key technical levels on Friday, as traders seek fresh directional cues in January. With BTC locked in a tight range, ETH is approaching its 50-day Exponential Moving Average, while XRP is nearing resistance. A clear breakout across these top three cryptocurrencies could help define market momentum in the opening weeks of the year.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).