|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls attack 20-DMA to refresh intraday top but stay cautious

  • AUD/USD takes the bids while extending Friday’s corrective pullback.
  • 20-DMA guards immediate upside but 100-DMA becomes the key resistance.
  • Horizontal area from August appears a tough nut to crack for sellers.

AUD/USD keeps the previous day’s recovery moves as it approaches 0.7200 threshold, up 0.11% intraday during early Monday.

The Aussie pair bounced off the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of (Fibo.) October-December downside, around 0.7125 on Friday. However, the quote remains below stays below the 20-DMA level surrounding 0.7195, not to forget keeping the pullback from the 100-DMA. The inability to cross the key moving averages joins the receding bullish bias of the MACD and steady RSI to keep sellers hopeful.

That said, fresh downside will aim for the 23.6% Fibo. retest, around 0.7125, ahead of targeting a horizontal area from August 20 near 0.7110-05.

Additionally, the 0.7100 round figure may also test the pair bears, a break of which will direct AUD/USD sellers towards 0.7050 and then to the 0.7000 psychological magnet.

On the contrary, the 20-DMA level of 0.7195 guards the quote’s immediate upside before directing AUD/USD buyers towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.7280.

However, the 100-DMA surrounding 0.7290 becomes a tough nut to crack for the pair bull, a break of which will not hesitate to challenge the mid-November peak of .7371.

AUD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.719
Today Daily Change0.0008
Today Daily Change %0.11%
Today daily open0.7182
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7195
Daily SMA500.7227
Daily SMA1000.7288
Daily SMA2000.7435
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7189
Previous Daily Low0.713
Previous Weekly High0.7278
Previous Weekly Low0.713
Previous Monthly High0.7278
Previous Monthly Low0.6993
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7166
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7152
Daily Pivot Point S10.7145
Daily Pivot Point S20.7107
Daily Pivot Point S30.7085
Daily Pivot Point R10.7204
Daily Pivot Point R20.7226
Daily Pivot Point R30.7264

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls to near 1.1700 due to safe-haven demand

EUR/USD extends its losses, trading around 1.1710 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair loses ground as the US Dollar strengthens on safe-haven demand, driven by a renewed rise in geopolitical risks following the United States’ capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.

GBP/USD falls toward 1.3400 near 50-day EMA

GBP/USD extends its losses for the second successive session, trading around 1.3420 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 53 has eased from near overbought, indicating that momentum has cooled while remaining above the midline. RSI holds above 50, keeping a modest bullish bias.

Gold on fire at the start of the week on US-Venezuela tensions

Gold regains upside traction early Monday as flight to safety prevails on Venezuela turmoil. The US Dollar finds strong haven demand, caps Gold’s upside as focus shifts to US jobs data. Gold’s daily technical setup suggests that more upside remains in the offing.

Bulls firmly in control as Bitcoin breaks $93K, Ethereum and Ripple extend gains

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple extended their rallies on Monday, gaining more than 4%, 6%, and 12%, respectively, in the previous week. The top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization could continue to outperform, with bulls in control of the momentum.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).