AUD/USD Price Analysis: Attempts to deliver a bullish reversal


  • AUD/USD has rebounded after sensing a cushion around 0.6700 amid a recovery in investors’ risk appetite.
  • Hopes for a bullish reversal will be fueled further in case AUD/USD delivers a break above the 50-EMA.
  • A 40.00-60.00 range oscillation by the RSI (14) indicates indecisiveness among the market participants.

The AUD/USD pair has shown a recovery move after defending the round-level support of 0.6700 in the early Asian session. A loss in the downside momentum is exhausted, however, the Aussie asset would get a sense of confidence only after a confident break above the immediate resistance of 0.6740.

S&P500 futures are displaying nominal losses after a meaningful recovery, portraying a caution in the overall risk appetite theme. The struggle from the US Dollar Index (DXY) for recapturing the 105.00 resistance continues amid a recovery in the risk-on market mood. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yields are looking to continue their upside momentum above 4.06%.

A double bottom chart formation on a two-hour scale by AUD/USD around March 01 low at 0.6700 has triggered the case of a bullish reversal. The Australian Dollar tested March 01 low at 0.6700 with less selling pressure, which propelled the responsive buying from the market participants. The downward-sloping trendline plotted from February 14 high at 0.7030 has acted as a major barricade for the Australian Dollar.

Hopes for a bullish reversal will be fueled further in case the AUD/USD pair delivers a break above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6750.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is still oscillating in the 40.00-60.00, indicating indecisiveness among the market participants.

A confident break above March 01 high at 0.6784 will send the asset toward the round-level resistance at 0.6800 followed by February 06 low at 0.6855.

In an alternate scenario, a slippage below March 01 low around 0.6700 will drag the Aussie toward December 07 low at 0.6669 and December 20 low at 0.6629.

AUD/USD two-hour chart

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6733
Today Daily Change -0.0021
Today Daily Change % -0.31
Today daily open 0.6754
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6879
Daily SMA50 0.6896
Daily SMA100 0.6739
Daily SMA200 0.6796
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6784
Previous Daily Low 0.6695
Previous Weekly High 0.6921
Previous Weekly Low 0.6719
Previous Monthly High 0.7158
Previous Monthly Low 0.6698
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.675
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6729
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6705
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6656
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6617
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6794
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6833
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6882

 

 

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