|

AUD/USD - On a firmer footing ahead of the Aussie jobs report

  • Easing in US-China trade tensions put a bid under the AUD yesterday, helping it chart a short-term bull doji reversal.
  • A better-than-expected Aussie labor market data could allow a stronger rally to an immediate resistance of 0.7202 (Aug. 15 low).

The AUD/USD pair jumped 90 pips on Wednesday as easing of US-China trade tensions stabilized the risk sentiment and could be in for a stronger corrective rally if the Aussie labor market data better estimates.

The risk assets picked up a bid yesterday after Trump Administration sent an invitation to China to begin a new round of trade talks. The battered Aussie dollar jumped higher, validating Tuesday's doji candle.

Notably, the bullish doji reversal indicates the pair has made a temporary low at 0.7085 (Sep. 11 low) and could jump above 0.7202 (Aug. 15 low) if the Australia labor market prints above estimates. However, the corrective rally may fall apart if the data disappoints expectations, strengthening calls for a dovish turn by Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).

The data scheduled for release at 01:30 is expected to show an addition of 18,000 jobs in August, following a loss of 3,900 jobs in July. Meanwhile, the jobless rate is expected to remain unchanged at 5.3 percent.

AUD/USD Technical Levels

Resistance: 0.7202 (Aug. 15 low),  0.7238 (Aug. 24 low), 0.7256 (61.8% Fib R of 0.7362/0.7085)

Support: 0.7163 (10-day moving average), 0.7144 (Sep. 5 low), 0.7134 (5-day moving average)

 TREND INDEXOB/OS INDEXVOLATILY INDEX
15MBearishNeutral Shrinking
1HBullishOverbought Expanding
4HBearishOverbought Expanding
1DBullishNeutral High
1WBearishOversold High

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to daily gains near 1.3350

GBP/USD holds just in positive territory around 1.3350 on Friday as the Greenback keeps a vacillating price action. With Fed rate hike expectations easing and US markets closed for the Independence Day holiday, Cable remains on track to post solid weekly gains.

EUR/USD remains sidelined around 1.1440

EUR/USD holds on to its recent gains and consolidates around 1.1440 at the end of the week as the US Dollar lacks clear direction. In the meantime, trading conditions remain subdued, with volatility constrained by the closure of US markets for the Independence Day holiday.

Gold flirts with two-week highs, targets $4,200

Gold extends its recovery for a third straight day, advancing toward the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal looks set to snap a four-week losing streak as softer-than-expected June US NFP data prompt investors to scale back expectations of further Fed tightening.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP advance amid renewed capital inflows

Bitcoin maintains its upward momentum, holding above the $61,000 mark at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins such as Ethereum and Ripple are also posting gains, signaling a modest uptick in market sentiment and renewed risk appetite among investors.

The Iran war failed to trigger a recession. Can the US economy keep defying expectations?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.