|

AUD/USD meanders around 0.7300 after a weaker Australian jobs report

  • AUD/USD extends its sharp decline for three days, from 0.7430 to 0.7300.
  • Australian Employment Change dropped 46.3K, and the unemployment rate jumped above 5%.
  • AUD/USD Technical outlook: A break under 0.7300 exposes the September 30 low at 0.7169.

The Australian dollar slides for the third consecutive day, down 0.25%, trading at 0.7309 in the New York session at the time of writing.  The AUD/USD traded within the 0.7314-40 range during the APAC session, but Australian economic data spurred the downfall.

Australian Employment Change dropped 46.3K, and the unemployment rate jumped above 5%

On Thursday, the Australian economic docket featured the Consumer Inflation Expectations for November, which rose 1% higher than in October, up to 4.6%, from 3.6% in October. The market ignored that data, but employment figures collapsed, triggering a sell-off on the pair. The Australian Bureau of Statistics revealed that Employment Change for October fell 46.3K, sharply lower than the 50K rise expected by analysts, spurring a jump in the Unemployment Rate, from 4.7% to 5.2%. 

It is worth noting that the jobs survey was taken from September 26 to October 9, when lockdown restrictions in New South Wales were just being eased, while Victoria state was still lockdown.

Meanwhile, the US economic docket reported US inflation figures, which jumped above 6% for the first time in 30-years. It seems that AUD/USD traders priced in the move, as witnessed by price action stabilizing around the 0.7300-40 range. On Thursday, the US economic docket is light due to the observation of the US Veterans Day Holiday.

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The daily chart shows that the pair tests the 0.7300, extending the downward move to three days. On its way down, it broke the 50 and the 100-day moving averages (DMA’s), which in tandem with the 200-DMA, indicates the AUD/USD pair has a downward bias.

On the way down, the first support level to break is 0.7300. A breach of the latter would expose the September 30 low at 0.7169, but an upslope trendline that travels from August 20 low towards the September 30 low, lie around the 0.7230-50 range, and act as support before reaching the September 30 low.

AUD/USD TECHNICAL SUPPORT/RESISTANCE LEVELS

Overview
Today last price0.7302
Today Daily Change-0.0024
Today Daily Change %-0.33
Today daily open0.7326
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7453
Daily SMA500.7369
Daily SMA1000.7375
Daily SMA2000.7548
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7394
Previous Daily Low0.7325
Previous Weekly High0.7537
Previous Weekly Low0.736
Previous Monthly High0.7557
Previous Monthly Low0.7191
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7351
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7368
Daily Pivot Point S10.7303
Daily Pivot Point S20.7279
Daily Pivot Point S30.7234
Daily Pivot Point R10.7372
Daily Pivot Point R20.7417
Daily Pivot Point R30.7441

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits near monthly top, above 0.7000 as renewed USD buying caps gains

AUD/USD holds a positive bias for the fourth straight day, trading above 0.7000 in the Asian session on Wednesday and near the monthly high set the previous day after RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser's hawkish remarks. Meanwhile, the US Dollar attracts some buyers as energy-driven inflation fears keep bets for at least one Fed rate hike in 2026 firmly on the table. Moreover, geopolitical uncertainty is acting as a tailwind for the safe-haven buck and caps gains for the Aussie.

USD/JPY eyes 158.50 amid modest USD strength; remains confined in a familiar range

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains confined within a multi-week range as the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike keep Japanese Yen bulls on the defensive. Meanwhile, hawkish Fed expectations, bolstered by inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices, underpin the US Dollar. However, looming intervention fears could limit JPY losses and cap the currency pair.

Gold struggles near weekly low, just above $4,100 amid USD uptick

Gold remains depressed for the fourth straight day, flirting with the weekly low during Wednesday’s Asian session, with bears awaiting a sustained break below $4,100 before placing fresh bets. Energy-driven inflation fears keep Fed hike bets firmly on the table, reviving US Dollar demand and undermining the non-yielding bullion. However, an unconfirmed report of US-Iran diplomacy could cap the safe-haven buck, which could offer some support to the precious metal.

Ethereum bounces off $2,400 for a sixth day despite ETF outflows
Ethereum (ETH) bounced again near the $2,400 level on Tuesday, the sixth straight day, as its on-chain cost basis and key moving averages have stood as key support levels. The sub-$2,400 level has proven to be a strong support for the top altcoin over the past week amid macro pressures. Buyers have repeatedly stepped in to defend prices whenever it falls below the level.
SpaceX's earnings don't matter. What they unlock does

The Elon Musk-founded SpaceX reports third-quarter results after Tuesday's session. The figure that decides the next month for the stock isn't in them. On Thursday, the second full trading day after the release, up to 1.3 billion shares held by employees and early investors become eligible for sale.

The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.