Silver Price Forecast: XAG stays below $60 as death cross threat looms
- Silver consolidates below $60 as death-cross risk intensifies.
- RSI aims lower, signaling sellers remain firmly in control.
- A break below $57 exposes $56.49 and $54.46 as supports.
Silver price treads water, losing over 1.50% as the white metal is poised to end June down over 22.50% after tumbling below $60.00 per troy ounce. The rise in US Treasury yields, the strength of the US Dollar, and the lack of a geopolitical risk premium keep the non-yielding metal pressured.
XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook
Silver is consolidating in the $55.70-$59.57 range, with buyers unable to reclaim the $60.00 level. Worth noting that the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $72.61 approaches the 200-day SMA at $69.64, about to form a ‘death-cross.’ This would cement the case that sellers are in charge and that further losses lie ahead.
From a momentum standpoint, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) aims lower, closing into oversold territory. Hence, the path of least resistance is downwards.
If XAG/USD dives below $57.00, it clears the path to challenge the December 9, 2025, low of $56.49, followed by the October 17, 225 high of $54.46. Once cleared, the next support is the November 21, 2025, daily low of $48.63.
For a bullish reversal, buyers must clear the $60.00 mark, ahead of testing the 200-day SMA at $69.64.
XAG/USD Price Chart – Daily
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Author
Christian Borjon Valencia
FXStreet
Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.
