Chinese Yuan: Range trade persists, downside risk intact against US Dollar – UOB

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

UOB’s Senior Technical Strategist Quek Ser Leang expects USD/CNH to remain confined in a tight near-term range, with the Dollar likely to trade between 6.7950 and 6.8100. Despite easing upward momentum, UOB still sees scope for a move toward 6.8300 while 6.7900 holds as strong support. On a 1–3 month horizon, a break above the 21-week EMA at 6.8430 is needed to signal a sustained recovery.

Dollar holds range with upside risks

"24-HOUR VIEW: USD rose to 6.8195 last Thursday and then pulled back. On Friday, when USD was at 6.8020, we indicated that “although there is room for USD to retreat further, given that there is no clear increase in downward momentum, any decline is likely to stay within a 6.7950/6.8100 range.” USD then traded between 6.7982 and 6.8094, closing largely unchanged at 6.8044 (+0.04%). There has been no shift in either downward or upward momentum, and we continue to expect USD to trade between 6.7950 and 6.8100."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: We have held a positive USD view since the middle of the month. In our most recent narrative from last Thursday (25 Jun, spot at 6.8130), we indicated that “the surge in momentum suggests USD could rise to 6.8300.” While upward momentum has since eased, as long as the ‘strong support’ at 6.7900 (no change in level) is not breached, there is still a chance for USD to head toward 6.8300"

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

GBP/USD advances above 1.3500 as easing Fed hike bets down USD

GBP/USD extends the advance above 1.3500 in the European trading hours on Friday. The US Dollar drops against the British Pound as cooler-than-expected US consumer and producer inflation data have limited the Fed's room for further interest rate hikes. Traders will keep an eye on the US July Retail Sales report and the Consumer Sentiment data later this Friday.

EUR/USD rises to 1.1550 as US Dollar slips ahead of data

EUR/USD attracts some follow-through buying in the European session on Friday and builds on the previous day's bounce to near the 1.1550 level. The pair capitalizes on renewed US Dollar weakness, as doubts over a September Fed rate hike offset lingering Middle East concerns. The US Retail Sales and UoM Consumer Sentiment data are in focus later in the day.

Gold sticks to losses but holds above $4,300 as reduced Fed hike bets weigh on USD

Gold recovers slightly from the $4,300 neighborhood heading into the European session, though it remains in negative territory for the second straight day. Moreover, a mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution before positioning for an extension of the retracement slide from $4,450, or the highest since June 5, set the previous day.

Ethereum on-chain signal remains weak even as mild retail distribution continues

Ethereum (ETH) continued to consolidate in the tight $1,800-$2,000 range amid weak signals across key on-chain metrics. ETH Exchange Netflow, which measures the difference between coins flowing in and out of exchanges, indicates mild dominance in selling activity after its 14-day moving average flipped positive.

Dollar dominance is cracking and the Fort Knox Gold question won’t go away

Imagine somebody repeatedly claiming to have $100,000 in the bank but refusing to produce a statement or even balance the checkbook. The money might be there, but without verification, skepticism would be reasonable.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?

Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.