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AUD/USD looks vulnerable below 0.6700 as Fed prepares for more rate hikes

  • AUD/USD is expected to extend its downside journey amid hawkish Fed bets.
  • The USD Index is trying to defend its immediate support of 101.63 ahead of US Durable Goods Orders.
  • A consensus of further decline in Australian inflation will allow the RBA to keep rates steady.

The AUD/USD pair has shifted its suction below the round level support of 0.6700 in the Asian session. After defending the immediate support of 0.6680, an absence of recovery in the Aussie asset is making it vulnerable. The downside bias for the Aussie asset is also solid due to rising bets for one more consecutive 25 basis points (bps) rate hike from the Federal Reserve (Fed).

S&P500 futures are holding losses generated in the early Asian session, showing caution as more United States companies are going to report their quarterly earnings ahead. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is attempting to defend the four-day support of 101.63. The USD Index has been displaying topsy-turvy moves for the past four trading sessions in a 101.63-102.23 range amid an absence of a potential trigger.

A power-pack action is expected from the USD Index this week amid the release of the Durable Goods Orders data, which provides a glimpse of forward demand. For March, Durable Goods Orders data is seen expanding by 0.8% vs. a contraction of 1.0%. An upbeat economic data would be supportive of more rate hikes from the Federal Reserve (Fed).

This week, the Australian Dollar will remain in action amid the release of the Inflation data. As per the expectations, inflation data for the first quarter of CY2023 has decelerated to 1.3% from the prior release of 1.9%. Annual inflation has softened to 6.9% vs. the prior release of 7.8%. The monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) indicator (March) is expected to show further softening to 6.5% against the former release of 6.8%. An occurrence of the same would allow the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to keep the interest rate policy steady ahead.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6694
Today Daily Change0.0004
Today Daily Change %0.06
Today daily open0.669
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6704
Daily SMA500.6727
Daily SMA1000.6798
Daily SMA2000.6743
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6754
Previous Daily Low0.6678
Previous Weekly High0.6772
Previous Weekly Low0.6678
Previous Monthly High0.6784
Previous Monthly Low0.6564
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6707
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6725
Daily Pivot Point S10.6661
Daily Pivot Point S20.6631
Daily Pivot Point S30.6585
Daily Pivot Point R10.6737
Daily Pivot Point R20.6783
Daily Pivot Point R30.6812

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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