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AUD/USD keeps the red below 0.70 mark post-US data

   •  US durable goods orders for March surpass even the most optimistic estimates.
   •  The USD clings to gains near 2-year tops, though lacked strong follow-through.
   •  A larger than expected jump in initial jobless claims seemed to cap USD gains.

The AUD/USD pair held on to its offered tone and weakened farther below the key 0.7000 psychological mark, or near four-month lows after better than expected US durable goods orders data. 

The already stronger US Dollar got an additional boost, rising to the highest level in nearly two years (since May 2017) after data released from the US showed a sharp rebound in the durable goods orders. In fact, orders for capital goods jumped 2.7% m/m as against 1.1% decline recorded in the previous month and 0.8% rise expected. 

Adding to the positive headline reading, core durable goods orders - excluding transportation items, also surpassed expectations and edged up 0.4% m/m rate during the reported month as against 0.2% rise expected, though was partly offset by an unexpected jump in the initial weekly jobless claims.

Against the backdrop of growing bets that the RBA might be forced to cut interest rates as early as in May, broad-based USD strength largely offset the recent optimism over a possible US-China trade deal and did little to lend any support to the China-proxy Australian Dollar or ease the prevalent bearish pressure. 

It would now be interesting to see if the pair is able to find any respite at lower levels or continues with its bearish trajectory, despite highly oversold conditions, as market participants start repositioning for Friday's key release of the advance US Q1 GDP report.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6994
Today Daily Change-0.0021
Today Daily Change %-0.30
Today daily open0.7015
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7124
Daily SMA500.7111
Daily SMA1000.7127
Daily SMA2000.7183
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7104
Previous Daily Low0.7004
Previous Weekly High0.7206
Previous Weekly Low0.7136
Previous Monthly High0.7168
Previous Monthly Low0.7002
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7042
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7066
Daily Pivot Point S10.6978
Daily Pivot Point S20.6941
Daily Pivot Point S30.6878
Daily Pivot Point R10.7078
Daily Pivot Point R20.7141
Daily Pivot Point R30.7178

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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