|

AUD/USD jumps to the 0.6750 area as Dollar tumbles after US CPI

  • US annual CPI slowed to 3%, the lowest reading since March 2021.
  • US Dollar tumbled across the board after the release of the US inflation data.
  • AUD/USD  hit its highest level in almost three weeks, reaching 0.6752.

After the release of the US consumer inflation data, which came in below expectations, the AUD/USD pair surged from 0.6685 to 0.6752, reaching its highest level since June 23. The pair remains near the highs as markets digest the new data.

Inflation continues to slow in the US 

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 0.2% in June, below the expected 0.3%. The annual rate fell from 4% to 3%, which is below the market consensus of 3.1%, and the lowest since March 2021. The annual Core rate also fell from 5.3% in May to 4.8% in June, which is below the estimated 5%.

As a result of the lower-than-expected US CPI figures, markets have priced in lower odds of a second rate hike from the Fed this year. However, a rate hike in the July meeting is almost fully priced in.

Following the release of the US CPI figures, US Treasury yields tumbled, with the US 10-year dropping from 3.95% to 3.88%, and the 2-year from 4.84% to 4.73%. The US Dollar Index (DXY) also fell to test June lows, trading near 101.00. Wall Street futures rose, and commodity prices jumped. The current context favors the upside in AUD/USD, with increased risk appetite and lower US yields. 

The 0.6750 area represents immediate resistance for the pair, and consolidation above it could open the doors to more gains. The next resistance stands at 0.6765, followed by a strong barrier at 0.6800. The 0.6700/05 area is the immediate support and while above, risks are tilted towards the upside.

Technical levels 

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.669
Today Daily Change0.0003
Today Daily Change %0.04
Today daily open0.6687
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6718
Daily SMA500.6678
Daily SMA1000.6683
Daily SMA2000.6699
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6695
Previous Daily Low0.6651
Previous Weekly High0.6705
Previous Weekly Low0.6599
Previous Monthly High0.69
Previous Monthly Low0.6484
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6678
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6668
Daily Pivot Point S10.666
Daily Pivot Point S20.6633
Daily Pivot Point S30.6616
Daily Pivot Point R10.6704
Daily Pivot Point R20.6722
Daily Pivot Point R30.6748

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flirts with 0.7000, lowest since early August amid bullish USD

AUD/USD hits a fresh low since early August during the Asian session on Friday and looks vulnerable near 0.7000 after breaking below the 200-day SMA overnight. Against the backdrop of the hawkish Fed, a two-day rally in oil prices revives inflation fears and continues to push US bond yields to multi-year highs. Adding to this, geopolitical risks lift the US Dollar to a two-month high, overshadowing RBA rate hike bets and weighing on the pair.

USD/JPY pulls back from three-week high after failing near 159.00

USD/JPY edges lower during the Asian session on Friday, stalling its recent strong move to a three-week high of 159.00 as Japanese Yen bears turn cautious amid intervention fears. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a strong bullish undertone as the Fed's hawkish outlook and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year peaks. Furthermore, the BoJ's dovish rate hike last week might cap JPY and support spot prices.

Gold consolidates below $4,300 amid hawkish Fed, higher bond yields, and bullish USD

Gold extends its consolidative price move, and languishes near the weekly low set the previous day amid a bearish fundamental backdrop. The US Dollar pauses for a breather following a strong rally to a nearly two-month high and offers some support to the commodity. However, the US Federal Reserve's hawkish outlook, elevated US bond yields, and persistent geopolitical uncertainties favor USD bulls.

Ripple, Cardano, Solana: ETF inflows and whale demand signal further rally
Ripple (XRP), Cardano (ADA), and Solana (SOL) continue to experience a steady recovery with double-digit gains so far this month. Ripple and Solana experience firm institutional demand, while the percentage of ADA supply in profit rises, underpinned by interest from large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales.
Treasury yields at 2007 highs

The combination of energy prices rising back above $100 a barrel, US PMI’s topping multi-year indexes and FOMC members taking tough tones when discussing future rate paths have all led Treasuries at both ends of the curve with higher yields. Treasury Notes account for close to 52% of all marketable Treasuries, so movements in yields are especially painful for the US fiscal outlook.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.