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AUD/USD is staying afloat around 0.6670s before Fed’s policy decision

  • AUD/USD is subdued around the 0.6670s ahead of the Fed’s decision.
  • The US Federal Reserve is expected to raise rates to the 4.75% - 5.00% range.
  • The RBA’s latest minutes were dovish, as the central bank took off higher interest rate increases.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) holds to its earlier gains against the US Dollar (USD) amidst a so-far dull trading session with traders awaiting the Fed’s decision. Sentiment remains fragile and mixed, while US Treasury bond yields have turned south. At the time of writing, the AUD/USD is trading at 0.6675 after hitting a high of 0.6702.

The Fed is expected to hike, Powell’s press conference eyed

Investors’ mood shifted sour as the time closed to read the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy statement and hear its Chairman Jerome Powell at the stand. Money market futures foresee a 25 bps rate hike, with odds at an 86.4% chance.

Three weeks ago, Jerome Powell opened the door for faster rate hikes before a banking crisis hit the US and abroad. Two lenders in the United States (US) collapsed, while First Republic Bank got aided by 11 banks pledging $30 billion. Late Tuesday, the US Secretary of Treasury Janet L. Yellen calmed the financial markets after stating that the government would intervene to protect depositors of small banks.

That was a green light for traders hungry for risk ahead of the Fed’s decision. Nevertheless, the three major US equity indices are trading below Tuesday’s close by a minimum percentage.

US Treasury bond yields had recovered some ground in the fixed income space, with 2s and 10s almost unchanged at 4.197% and 3.583%, respectively. The greenback is on the defensive, as shown by the US Dollar Index (DXY), down 0.07%, at 103.144.

On the Australian front, the minutes of the last meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) forgot to mention discussions for a higher rate hike, with board members considering only 25 bps. Regarding the strength of the banking system, the RBA’s Governor Kent states that banks are “unquestionably strong.”

AUD/USD Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6681
Today Daily Change0.0012
Today Daily Change %0.18
Today daily open0.6669
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6693
Daily SMA500.6862
Daily SMA1000.6783
Daily SMA2000.6763
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6726
Previous Daily Low0.665
Previous Weekly High0.6725
Previous Weekly Low0.6579
Previous Monthly High0.7158
Previous Monthly Low0.6698
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6679
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6697
Daily Pivot Point S10.6637
Daily Pivot Point S20.6605
Daily Pivot Point S30.656
Daily Pivot Point R10.6714
Daily Pivot Point R20.6758
Daily Pivot Point R30.679

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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