|

AUD/USD holds below the 0.6400 mark ahead of the Australian CPI

  • AUD/USD attracts some sellers amid the risk aversion and stronger USD.
  • The US CB Consumer Confidence (Sep) rose by 103 vs. 108.7 prior, a four-month low.
  • The annual Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August is expected to rise from 4.9% to 5.2%.

The AUD/USD pair remains under selling pressure and drops below 0.6400 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The pair is weighed by the negative sentiment and a decline in commodity prices. The pair currently trades around 0.6394, losing 0.03% on the day.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the value of the USD relative to a basket of foreign currencies, hovers around 106.17 after retreating from the highest level since November of 106.26.

On Tuesday, the US Consumer Confidence released by the Conference Board (CB) for September rose by 103.0 from 108.7 in August. The data indicated the impact of higher interest rates and concerns about the political environment. The Building Permits came in at 1.541M in August versus 1.443M prior. Additionally, the House Price Index for July climbed to 0.8% MoM from 0.4% in the previous reading, better than expected at 0.5%. New Home Sales dropped -8.7% in August from an 8% increase in July.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) decided to hold the interest rate unchanged in the 5.25% to 5.50% range last week. In terms of macroeconomic predictions, most members still expect further rate rises later this year. Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President, Neel Kashkari stated on Tuesday that he is one of the fed policymakers who sees one more rate hike this year. He added that US rates probably have to go a little bit higher and be held there for longer, to cool things off. The hawkish comments from Fed officials boost the US Dollar (USD) across the board and act as a headwind for the AUD/USD pair.

On the other hand, the Aussie attracts some sellers due to risk aversion. The release of Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) data will be a closely watched event. The release of the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) Minutes on the September monetary policy meeting revealed that additional tightening may be necessary if inflation proves more persistent than anticipated. But the case for maintaining the status quo was stronger. This, in turn, might cap the upside of the Aussie and weigh on the AUD/USD pair.

Market participants will closely watch the Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August due later on Wednesday. The annual figure is expected to rise from 4.9% to 5.2%. Also, the US Durable Goods Orders report will be released on Wednesday. The attention will shift to the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, the Fed's preferred measure of consumer inflation, due on Friday. The annual figure is expected to drop from 4.2% to 3.9%. Traders will take cues from the data and find trading opportunities around the AUD/USD pair.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6395
Today Daily Change-0.0029
Today Daily Change %-0.45
Today daily open0.6424
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6432
Daily SMA500.6515
Daily SMA1000.6601
Daily SMA2000.6695
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6447
Previous Daily Low0.6404
Previous Weekly High0.6511
Previous Weekly Low0.6385
Previous Monthly High0.6724
Previous Monthly Low0.6364
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.642
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6431
Daily Pivot Point S10.6403
Daily Pivot Point S20.6382
Daily Pivot Point S30.6361
Daily Pivot Point R10.6445
Daily Pivot Point R20.6467
Daily Pivot Point R30.6488

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).