|

AUD/USD holds above 0.6600, eyes on Chinese PMI, Core US PCE data

  • AUD/USD loses ground near 0.6620 on the modest recovery of USD.
  • US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 5.2% vs 4.9% prior, better than expected.
  • Australian monthly CPI eased 4.9% YoY from 5.6% in the previous reading.
  • Chinese PMI and US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) will be the highlight on Thursday.

The AUD/USD pair loses traction to 0.6620 after retracing from its highest level in almost four months during the early Asian session on Thursday. The downtick of the pair is backed by the recovery of the US Dollar (USD) on diverging Federal Reserve (Fed) official comments on future rate hikes.

The US economic US data have lifted the USD modestly from monthly lows. However, the upside remains capped in the near term as the market is pricing a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut in May 2024 and seems to have abandoned any notion of rates being higher for longer. On Wednesday, the US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 5.2% during the third quarter from the previous reading of 4.9%, above the market consensus of 5.0.

On the Aussie front, the Australian monthly CPI slowed in October, easing from 5.6% to 4.9% YoY. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock said that current monetary policy is restrictive, with higher rates dampening demand, especially in the context of persistent services inflation.

Market players will keep an eye on China’s PMI data and Australia's Private Credit data on Thursday. That being said, the stronger-than-expected Chinese data could boost the Australian Dollar (AUD) as China is its largest trading partner. Also, the US will release the key figures, including the weekly Jobless Claims, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) for October, the Chicago PMI, and Pending Home Sales.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6618
Today Daily Change-0.0027
Today Daily Change %-0.41
Today daily open0.6645
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6491
Daily SMA500.6417
Daily SMA1000.6482
Daily SMA2000.6583
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6666
Previous Daily Low0.6596
Previous Weekly High0.6591
Previous Weekly Low0.6501
Previous Monthly High0.6445
Previous Monthly Low0.627
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6639
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6623
Daily Pivot Point S10.6606
Daily Pivot Point S20.6566
Daily Pivot Point S30.6536
Daily Pivot Point R10.6675
Daily Pivot Point R20.6705
Daily Pivot Point R30.6744

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).