|

AUD/USD hits fresh YTD lows, FOMC decision in focus

   •  Resurgent US bond yields help offset USD weakness and prompt some fresh selling. 
   •  Weaker copper prices did little to lend any support and stall the downfall.
   •  The Fed's outlook for future interest rates should provide a fresh directional impetus.

The AUD/USD pair struggled to build on early tepid recovery move and fell to fresh three-month lows in the last minute. 

The pair failed to capitalize on some renewed US Dollar weakness, with a goodish pickup in the US Treasury bond yields seen as one of the key factors prompting some aggressive selling around higher-yielding currencies - like the Aussie. 

Expectations that the Fed would raise interest rates by 25 bps, and signal towards a faster monetary policy tightening cycle remained supportive of the recent upsurge in the US bond yields and reason behind the pair's slide to fresh YTD lows. 

Hence, investors' focus would remain glued to the Fed's latest economic projections and the outlook for future interest rates, which would drive the USD in the near-term and eventually provide some fresh directional impetus.

Technical levels to watch

A follow-through weakness below 0.7665 level now seems to drag the pair even below 0.7640 intermediate support towards challenging the 0.7600 round figure mark. On the upside, the 0.7700 handle now becomes immediate resistance, which if cleared might prompt some short-covering move and lift the pair back towards the 0.7720-30 supply zone.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold rebounds toward $4,400 following sharp correction

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).