|

AUD/USD gains ground above 0.6800, US PCE data eyed

  • AUD/USD holds above 0.6800 amid the USD weakness. 
  • US Q3 GDP grew at a 4.9% annualized rate, missing the expectation of 5.2%.
  • The RBA indicated in its December minutes that there are upside risks of inflation, and the policy setting will depend on the incoming data. 
  • The US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (Core PCE) will be in the spotlight on Friday. 

The AUD/USD pair gains ground above the 0.6800 mark, the highest in five months during the early Asian session on Friday. The uptick of the pair is bolstered by the softer US Dollar (USD) and risk appetite. At press time, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6801, down 0.02% on the day. 

On Thursday, the new estimate of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Annualized for the third quarter (Q3) expanded 4.9%, below the market consensus of 5.2%. Additionally, the weekly Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending December 16 came in at 205,000 from 203,000 in the previous week. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index fell to -10.5 in December from -5.9 in November.  

The Federal Reserve (Fed) delivered a dovish tone last week while indicating that the hiking cycle is done and rate cuts are on the cards next year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell did not declare victory over inflation and reiterated that the central bank wants to see further evidence of falling inflation before it would feel confident that it is sustainably headed back to the 2% target. Traders will take more cues from the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (Core PCE) due later on Friday. 

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to hold the cash rate at 4.35% amid the "encouraging signs" of the inflation battle. However, the RBA indicated in its December minutes there are risks that inflation will hold above the 2%-3% target for longer than expected. The central bank will wait for further data to assess how the balance of risks was evolving. 

Australia will release Private Sector Credit data on Friday. Market players will closely monitor the US Core PCE, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, which is expected to rise 3.3%. Also, the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Survey, Durable Goods Orders report, and New Home Sales data will be released later on Friday. These figures could give a clear direction to the AUD/USD pair. 

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6801
Today Daily Change0.0075
Today Daily Change %1.12
Today daily open0.6726
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6629
Daily SMA500.6494
Daily SMA1000.6465
Daily SMA2000.6578
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6779
Previous Daily Low0.6725
Previous Weekly High0.6729
Previous Weekly Low0.654
Previous Monthly High0.6677
Previous Monthly Low0.6318
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6746
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6759
Daily Pivot Point S10.6708
Daily Pivot Point S20.669
Daily Pivot Point S30.6654
Daily Pivot Point R10.6761
Daily Pivot Point R20.6797
Daily Pivot Point R30.6815


 

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends slide to fresh 2026-low near 1.3150

GBP/USD resumes its downside in the second half of the day on Wednesday and trades at its lowest level since November 2025 near 1.3150. The pair remains vulnerable amid a broadly firmer US Dollar and chaotic UK political environment. The focus is now on BoE-speak for further trading impetus.

EUR/USD slumps to new yearly low below 1.1350

EUR/USD stays under bearish pressure and trades at its lowest level in a year below 1.1350 on Wednesday. The pair remains vulnerable to further declines amid a bullish US Dollar, which continues to draw support from hawkish Fed bets and US-Iran peace deal uncertainty.

Gold closes in on $4,000 on persistent USD strength

Gold remains under persistent selling pressure and trades at its lowest level since November near $4,000 on Wednesday, losing more than 2.5% on the day. Hawkish Fed pricing, broad-based US Dollar strength and the uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran peace agreement make it difficult for the precious metal to find a foothold.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trade under pressure as September Fed rate-hike odds increase

Bitcoin is trading between $62,000 and $63,000 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by headwinds stemming from macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

5.90% to 5.45%: Why the Pound ignored the bond market’s relief rally

Keir Starmer resigned on Monday, and the Pound barely moved. That near-silence is the tell. Sterling's real driver these past four months has not been the prime minister, nor the left-leaning frontrunner lining up to replace him, but the long end of the gilt curve, which answers to a force no British politician controls.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.