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AUD/USD gains ground above 0.6800, US PCE data eyed

  • AUD/USD holds above 0.6800 amid the USD weakness. 
  • US Q3 GDP grew at a 4.9% annualized rate, missing the expectation of 5.2%.
  • The RBA indicated in its December minutes that there are upside risks of inflation, and the policy setting will depend on the incoming data. 
  • The US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (Core PCE) will be in the spotlight on Friday. 

The AUD/USD pair gains ground above the 0.6800 mark, the highest in five months during the early Asian session on Friday. The uptick of the pair is bolstered by the softer US Dollar (USD) and risk appetite. At press time, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6801, down 0.02% on the day. 

On Thursday, the new estimate of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Annualized for the third quarter (Q3) expanded 4.9%, below the market consensus of 5.2%. Additionally, the weekly Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending December 16 came in at 205,000 from 203,000 in the previous week. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index fell to -10.5 in December from -5.9 in November.  

The Federal Reserve (Fed) delivered a dovish tone last week while indicating that the hiking cycle is done and rate cuts are on the cards next year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell did not declare victory over inflation and reiterated that the central bank wants to see further evidence of falling inflation before it would feel confident that it is sustainably headed back to the 2% target. Traders will take more cues from the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (Core PCE) due later on Friday. 

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to hold the cash rate at 4.35% amid the "encouraging signs" of the inflation battle. However, the RBA indicated in its December minutes there are risks that inflation will hold above the 2%-3% target for longer than expected. The central bank will wait for further data to assess how the balance of risks was evolving. 

Australia will release Private Sector Credit data on Friday. Market players will closely monitor the US Core PCE, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, which is expected to rise 3.3%. Also, the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Survey, Durable Goods Orders report, and New Home Sales data will be released later on Friday. These figures could give a clear direction to the AUD/USD pair. 

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6801
Today Daily Change0.0075
Today Daily Change %1.12
Today daily open0.6726
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6629
Daily SMA500.6494
Daily SMA1000.6465
Daily SMA2000.6578
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6779
Previous Daily Low0.6725
Previous Weekly High0.6729
Previous Weekly Low0.654
Previous Monthly High0.6677
Previous Monthly Low0.6318
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6746
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6759
Daily Pivot Point S10.6708
Daily Pivot Point S20.669
Daily Pivot Point S30.6654
Daily Pivot Point R10.6761
Daily Pivot Point R20.6797
Daily Pivot Point R30.6815


 

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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