|

AUD/USD extends post-FOMC gains to cross 0.6550, fresh seven-week high, China PMIs eyed

  • AUD/USD remains on the front-foot while refreshing the multi-day high.
  • Downbeat US GDP, FOMC updates join optimism surrounding Gilead’s Remdesivir.
  • Upbeat Aussie data the previous data also takes part in cheering broad US dollar weakness.
  • China’s official PMIs, second-tier Australian economic data will decorate the calendar, virus updates remain as important.

AUD/USD bulls keep the helm while taking the bids to 0.6555, with the recent high of 0.6559, at the start of Thursday’s Asian session. In doing so, the Aussie pair stretches the latest gains to refresh seven-week top while cheering weak US dollar, amid downbeat US catalysts, as well as optimism concerning the coronavirus (COVID-19) drug discovery.

US GDP drops, Fed conveys pandemic fears and stays ready for further action…

The preliminary reading of the US first quarter (Q1) GDP slumped more than expected -4% to -4.8%, the sharpest fall since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC). The growth figures marked +2.1% prior to Q4 2019. Even so, some in the street anticipated higher than the actual loss to the GDP.

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) didn’t step back from conveying that the current health crisis poses considerable risks to the economic outlook over the medium term. The Fed policymakers also showed readiness to do “whatever it takes” with Chairman Jerome Powell matching wide expectations of being worried and conveying the fears. It’s worth mentioning that the Fed didn’t alter its monetary policy amid all, as anticipated, during Wednesday’s meeting.

Gilead’s Remdesivir adds strength to risk-on…

With the market’s keen search for the epidemic’s cure, news that Gilead’s experimental drug Remdesivir cut the time to recover from COVID-19 and showed evidence of blocking the virus propelled the risk-on sentiment. The development helped US President Donald Trump to reiterate his push for the vaccine and be the man to save the world. As per the CNBC, US President Trump wants FDA to move as quickly as they can on Remdesivir coronavirus approval.

As a result, the US 10-year Treasury yields gain two basis points (bps) to 0.63% whereas Wall Street closed Wednesday with over 2.0% gains each by the key benchmarks.

Looking forward, China’s official figures for April month Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing PMI will be the key to watch ahead of the Aussie Q1 Import and Export Price Index as well as March month Private Sector Credit. The key data, China Manufacturing PMI, is likely to soften from the previous 52 to 51, while further weakness is expected in the Aussie data. However, Chinese figures might surprise to the upside considering the economy’s return from the virus lockdowns, which in turn can please the bulls. It should also be noted that the Aussie CPI for the first quarter (Q1) has been upbeat and hence may help provide welcome surprises to the Aussie data watchers. Other than the calendar, virus updates will also be the key.

Technical analysis

100-day SMA near 0.6570 is still standing tall to challenge the Aussie buyers. Though, sellers will refrain entries unless breaking mid-month high close to 0.6445/40.

additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6558
Today Daily Change67 pips
Today Daily Change %1.03%
Today daily open0.6491
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.629
Daily SMA500.6306
Daily SMA1000.6574
Daily SMA2000.6691
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6515
Previous Daily Low0.6434
Previous Weekly High0.6406
Previous Weekly Low0.6253
Previous Monthly High0.6686
Previous Monthly Low0.5509
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6484
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6465
Daily Pivot Point S10.6444
Daily Pivot Point S20.6398
Daily Pivot Point S30.6363
Daily Pivot Point R10.6526
Daily Pivot Point R20.6561
Daily Pivot Point R30.6607

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eyes nine-day EMA barrier after rebounding from 1.1600

EUR/USD gains ground after registering modest losses in the previous session, trading around 1.1620 during the Asian hours on Friday. The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests an ongoing bearish bias as the pair remains within the descending channel pattern.

GBP/USD: Pound Sterling ticks up against US Dollar in countdown to US NFP

The Pound Sterling trades marginally higher to near 1.3365 against the US Dollar during the Asian trading session on Friday. The GBP/USD pair edges up as the US Dollar ticks down ahead of the United States Nonfarm Payrolls data for February, which will be published at 13:30 GMT.

Gold rises but remains on track for weekly loss in five weeks

Gold price recovers its recent losses from the previous session on Friday. The yellow metal advances as the broader precious metals market rebounds on safe-haven demand. However, the yellow metal is on track for its first weekly decline in five weeks as escalating Middle East tensions push oil prices higher, fueling inflation concerns and reducing bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple at risk as US-Iran war extends

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple trade cautiously at press time on Friday, close to key support levels after a roughly 2% pullback the previous day. Bitcoin holds above $71,000, Ethereum at $2,000, and XRP continues to consolidate in a sideways range.

The market compass is pointing at a barrel of Oil

The Asian open is arriving with equities leaning the wrong way, and the reason is not complicated. The market’s compass needle has snapped firmly toward crude. In this tape, oil is not just another input price; it is the gravitational center around which every asset class is orbiting.

Ripple tests recovery strength amid steady ETF inflows, growing retail interest

Ripple (XRP) continues to demonstrate notable resilience as the cryptocurrency market navigates the persistent war in the Middle East after the United States (US) and Israel attacked Iran on Saturday.