|

AUD/USD extends its upside near 0.6370, eyes on the US NFP

  • AUD/USD gains traction above the mid-0.6300s amid the USD softness.
  • US weekly Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending on September 30 improved to 207K vs. 205K, below expected.
  • Australia’s Trade Balance improved in August, beating the market expectations.
  • Traders await the US Nonfarm Payrolls due later on Friday.

The AUD/USD pair extends its upside for two straight days during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. The upside of the pair is bolstered by the correction of the US Dollar (USD) and a decline in US Treasury yields. Market players await the US employment report for fresh impetus. The pair currently trade around 0.6371, gaining 0.03% on the day.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) declined to 106.30 after retreating from monthly highs. US Treasury yields also edge lower, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping to 4.71%.

Data from the US Department of Labor on Thursday revealed that US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending on September 30 improved to 207K from the previous reading of 205K, below the market expectation of 210K. This figure indicates that labor market conditions remain tight. Furthermore, the US Balance of Trade deficit was $58.3 billion, lower than the expected of $62.3 billion and the $64.7 billion recorded in July.

The US employment data on Friday will be in the spotlight. The Nonfarm Payrolls are expected to rise by 170K while the Unemployment Rate is estimated to decline to 3.7% from 3.8%. The softer figures could trigger a sell-off in the Greenback against its rivals and a rally in Treasury yields.

On the other hand, Australia’s Bureau of Statistics reported on Thursday that the nation’s Trade Balance for August expanded to 9,640 million MoM from July's reading of 8,039 million, beating the market expectations of 8,725 million. The upbeat Australian data lifted the Aussie and acted as a tailwind for the AUD/USD pair.

Following the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) October’s meeting on Tuesday, the central bank decided to maintain the status quo, leaving the key interest rate unchanged at 4.10%. The RBA may hike additional interest rates, with expectations pointing to a peak of 4.35% by the end of the year as the inflation remains above the target.

Looking ahead, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will publish the Financial Stability Review, which is unlikely to surprise the market. The highlight will be the US Nonfarm Payrolls and the Unemployment Rate due later in the American session on Friday. Traders will take cues from the figures and find trading opportunities around the AUD/USD pair.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6372
Today Daily Change0.0047
Today Daily Change %0.74
Today daily open0.6325
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6406
Daily SMA500.646
Daily SMA1000.6578
Daily SMA2000.6683
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6342
Previous Daily Low0.6287
Previous Weekly High0.6501
Previous Weekly Low0.6332
Previous Monthly High0.6522
Previous Monthly Low0.6332
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6321
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6308
Daily Pivot Point S10.6294
Daily Pivot Point S20.6262
Daily Pivot Point S30.6238
Daily Pivot Point R10.6349
Daily Pivot Point R20.6374
Daily Pivot Point R30.6405

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases from around 1.1800 after US GDP figures

The US Dollar is finding some near-term demand after the release of the US Q3 GDP. According to the report, the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 4.3% in the three months to September, well above the 3.3% forecast by market analysts.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD retreats from session highs and trades slightly below 1.3500 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar stages a rebound following the better-than-expected Q3 growth data, limiting the pair's upside ahead of the Christmas break.

Gold retreats from record highs on solid US growth

Gold prices soared to $4,497 on Monday, as persistent US Dollar weakness and thinned holiday trading exacerbated the bullish run. The bright metal eases following the release of an upbeat US Q3 GDP reading, but overall, the report is doing little for the Greenback.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP decline as risk-off sentiment escalates

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading above the $87,000 support at the time of writing on Tuesday. Selling pressure has continued to weigh on the broader cryptocurrency market since Monday, triggering declines across altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.