|

AUD/USD extends its upside below the mid-0.6400s ahead of the US NFP data

  • AUD/USD edges higher to 0.6435 on the softer USD, risk appetite.
  • Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is likely to raise the rate by 25 basis points (bps) next week.
  • Market participants will closely focus on US employment data, including Nonfarm Payrolls.

The AUD/USD pair extends its upside during the early European trading hours on Friday. The US dollar and the risk appetite lend support to the pair ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls data on Friday. As of press time, the pair is trading around 0.6435, gaining 0.03% on the day.

The markets anticipate the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points (bps) next week while holding the hawkish stance. Early Friday, the Australian Retail Sales for the third quarter (Q3) improved by 0.2% QoQ versus from 0.6% drop in the previous reading. Meanwhile, Judo Bank Composite PMI came in at 47.6 in October from the previous reading of 47.3. The Services PMI grew to 47.9 in October from 47.6 in September. The upbeat Australian economic data and risk-on environment boost to Australian Dollar (AUD) against the Greenback.

On the other hand, markets are confident that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is approaching the end of its tightening cycle after Fed Chair Jerome Powell made it clear that financial conditions will need to remain tight to avoid further rate rises. The dovish message following the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy meeting exerts some pressure on the USD. However, the upward trajectory of US Treasury bond yields will likely continue to dominate the USD performance in the next sessions.

Trader will closely watch the highly-anticipated US Nonfarm Payrolls for fresh impetus. The US economy is expected to add 180K jobs in October. The US Unemployment Rate is estimated to remain steady at 3.8%. The stronger-than-expected data might limit the downside of the USD and act as a headwind for the AUD/USD pair. Traders will take cues from the data and find a trading opportunity around the AUD/USD pair.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6438
Today Daily Change0.0004
Today Daily Change %0.06
Today daily open0.6434
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6357
Daily SMA500.6391
Daily SMA1000.6519
Daily SMA2000.6625
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6456
Previous Daily Low0.6389
Previous Weekly High0.64
Previous Weekly Low0.627
Previous Monthly High0.6445
Previous Monthly Low0.627
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.643
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6415
Daily Pivot Point S10.6397
Daily Pivot Point S20.636
Daily Pivot Point S30.633
Daily Pivot Point R10.6464
Daily Pivot Point R20.6493
Daily Pivot Point R30.653

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays below 1.3400 after soft UK CPI data

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction and stays below 1.3400 in the second half of the day on Wednesday. The UK annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation cooled to 2.6% in June against the market forecast of 2.7%, making it difficult for the British Pound gather recovery momentum. Meanwhile, investors keep a close eye on headlines coming out of the Middle East.

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.1400 as markets focus on geopolitics

EUR/USD trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1400 on Wednesday. In the absence of high-impact data releases, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East caps the pair's upside. On Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce monetary policy decisions.

Gold holds gains above $4,100 undaunted by risk-off markets

Gold extends gains for the fourth consecutive day, standing comfortably above $4,100, unfazed by the risk-off market amid rising tensions in Iran and higher Oil prices. The pair has rallied nearly 2.5% so far this week and is on track for its best weekly performance in more than three months.

XRP consolidates as inflows and volume climb
Ripple (XRP) retains a slightly bullish outlook on Wednesday despite logging a minor correction from the supply range near $1.15. The remittance token is down 0.5% on the day, reflecting a broader cryptocurrency market drawdown, primarily driven by persistent geopolitical tensions between the United States (US) and Iran in the Middle East.
US – Fed preview: A divided hold
The first month after Kevin Warsh's debut at the FOMC's June meeting has brought mixed signals on the inflation front. On one hand, the re-escalation of the war in Iran has lifted energy prices higher again. Yet on the other hand, Warsh's hawkish comments have already lifted real rates, supported broad USD and tightened financial conditions while realized inflation surprised to the downside in June.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.