AUD/USD extends its upside below 0.6600, Australian Retail Sales data eyed

AUD/USD attracts some buyers on the weaker USD.
The US flash S&P Global Composite PMI for November was unchanged at 50.7 vs 50.4 expected.
RBA Governor Michele Bullock stated that tighter monetary policy is the appropriate reaction to demand-driven inflation.

Lallalit Srijandorn FXStreet

The AUD/USD pair extends its upside during the early Asian session on Monday. The uptick of the pair is bolstered by the decline of the US dollar (USD) following the mixed S&P Global PMI data. The pair currently trades around 0.6583, down 0.08% on the day.

On Friday, the US flash S&P Global Composite PMI for November was unchanged at 50.7 versus the expectation of 50.4. Meanwhile, the Services PMI rose to 50.8 in November from 50.6 in October, above the market consensus of 50.4. The Manufacturing PMI eased to 49.4 from 50.0, worse than the 49.8 estimated. Economists anticipate overall economic growth to moderate considerably this quarter as the lag effects of the Federal Reserve's hike begin to have a greater impact. Markets are confident that the Fed will not raise the interest rate in December and expect four rate cuts in May of 2024. This, in turn, weighs on the USD and acts as a tailwind for the AUD/USD pair.

On the Aussie front, the hawkish stance from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) boosts the Australian Dollar (AUD). RBA Governor Michele Bullock said tighter monetary policy is the appropriate reaction to demand-driven inflation.

Furthermore, the optimism that the Chinese government will continue to support the property sector has boosted the confidence of investors. That being said, the positive outlook about the Chinese economy lends some support to the China-proxy Aussie.

Looking ahead, market participants will monitor the Australian Retail Sales, RBA Bullock's speech, and the monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October. On the US docket, the US housing data, Consumer Confidence, GDP, and ISM Manufacturing PMI will be released.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.6583
Today Daily Change	-0.0006
Today Daily Change %	-0.09
Today daily open	0.6589

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.6464
Daily SMA50	0.6409
Daily SMA100	0.6483
Daily SMA200	0.6585

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.6591
Previous Daily Low	0.655
Previous Weekly High	0.6591
Previous Weekly Low	0.6501
Previous Monthly High	0.6445
Previous Monthly Low	0.627
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.6575
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.6566
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.6562
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.6536
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.6521
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.6603
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.6618
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.6644

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

FXStreet

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

GBP/USD clings to daily gains near 1.3350

GBP/USD holds just in positive territory around 1.3350 on Friday as the Greenback keeps a vacillating price action. With Fed rate hike expectations easing and US markets closed for the Independence Day holiday, Cable remains on track to post solid weekly gains.

EUR/USD remains sidelined around 1.1440

EUR/USD holds on to its recent gains and consolidates around 1.1440 at the end of the week as the US Dollar lacks clear direction. In the meantime, trading conditions remain subdued, with volatility constrained by the closure of US markets for the Independence Day holiday.

Gold flirts with two-week highs, targets $4,200

Gold extends its recovery for a third straight day, advancing toward the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal looks set to snap a four-week losing streak as softer-than-expected June US NFP data prompt investors to scale back expectations of further Fed tightening.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP advance amid renewed capital inflows

Bitcoin maintains its upward momentum, holding above the $61,000 mark at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins such as Ethereum and Ripple are also posting gains, signaling a modest uptick in market sentiment and renewed risk appetite among investors.

The Iran war failed to trigger a recession. Can the US economy keep defying expectations?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.