AUD/USD confined in a range near 0.6300 mark, stronger USD capping gains

  • AUD/USD gained some traction on Friday and staged a modest recovery from 11-year lows.
  • A sharp turnaround in the global risk sentiment benefitted perceived riskier Australian dollar.
  • Rebounding US bond yields provided an additional boost to the USD and capped further gains.

The AUD/USD pair extended its sideways consolidative price and remained confined in a narrow trading band, around the 0.6300 round-figure mark.

A combination of diverging factors failed to provide any meaningful impetus, or assist the pair to build on its attempted intraday recovery move and led to a subdued/range-bound price action through the mid-European session on Friday.

A strong recovery in the global risk sentiment, as depicted by solid gains across the global equity markets, was seen as one of the key factors extending some support to perceived riskier currencies, including the Australian dollar.

Investors' confidence got a strong boost on the last trading day of the week after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) on injected 500 billion yen into the system via an unscheduled repo operation and later announced an unscheduled buying of JGBs.

This comes on the back of the Fed's announcement on Thursday, saying that it will inject $1.5 trillion of temporary liquidity into the short-term funding markets and was seen as one of the key factors behind the pair's early recovery from over 11-year lows.

Meanwhile, the risk-on flows pushed the benchmark S&P 500 to an intraday up limit of 5% and led to a goodish pickup in the US Treasury bond yields. This eventually helped the US dollar to add to the overnight strong gains and kept a lid on any further recovery.

Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some strong follow-through buying before confirming that the pair might have actually bottomed out in the near-term and positioning for any further near-term recovery amid concerns over the coronavirus outbreak.

Technical levels to watch


Today last price 0.6303
Today Daily Change 0.0067
Today Daily Change % 1.07
Today daily open 0.6236
Daily SMA20 0.6584
Daily SMA50 0.6718
Daily SMA100 0.6792
Daily SMA200 0.6823
Previous Daily High 0.6492
Previous Daily Low 0.6213
Previous Weekly High 0.6658
Previous Weekly Low 0.6465
Previous Monthly High 0.6775
Previous Monthly Low 0.6434
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.632
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6386
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6135
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6034
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.5855
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6415
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6594
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6695



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