AUD/USD climbs into 0.6660 ahead of Australian CPI release

The Aussie is seeing a boost into new 16-week highs with the Australian CPI due early Wednesday.
The AUD/USD is seeing a firm rally after rebounding off of 0.6600, and the pair has climbed into 0.6650.
Aussie bidders are shrugging off Tuesday's Australia Retail Sales miss, dovish RBA Governor Bullock.

Joshua Gibson FXStreet

The AUD/USD has kicked into a 16-week high twice on Tuesday, climbing into 0.6632 early in the session despite a downside print in Australian Retail Sales. The Aussie (AUD) waffled back into the 0.6600 handle against the US Dollar (USD) before markets again rallied the AUD/USD into 0.6660.

Australian October Retail Sales came in below expectations, printing at -0.2% versus the forecast 0.1% improvement, a steeper decline from September's 0.9% increase.

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock also hit newswires early Tuesday, noting that Australia's inflation outlook looks similar to countries overseas.

Governor Bullock also noted that the RBA has been on the cautious side on rate hikes, but stating that monetary policy remains restrictive and that rate hikes have dampened demand, blaming second-round inflation on high immigration.

RBA’s Bullock: Australian inflation path similar to overseas

Australian Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for the year into October are due early Wednesday, and markets are expecting a slight decline of headline CPI inflation to 5.2% from September's 5.6%.

Later Wednesday could see markets hit some turbulence when US Gross Domestic Product (GDPO) figures land during the US market session. US GDP for the third quarter is expected to tick upward from 4.9% to an even 5.0%.

AUD/USD Technical Outlook

The Aussie's Tuesday rally brings the AUD/USD up over 0.6660, a 16-week high as the AUD shrugs off any bearish sentiment and plows higher against the USD.

The AUD/USD is up three-quarters of a percent from Tuesday's opening bids and the Aussie remains the only major currency that is in the green against all other major currencies on the board.

Tuesday's rally sees the pair easily extending beyond the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), and the long-term trend moving average is set to begin acting as technical support from just beneath 0.6600 if bullish momentum takes a breather.

A pullback represents a very real risk of the pair collapsing back into the midrange near the 50-day SMA at 0.6425. Bullish breaks of the 200-day SMA have proven to be volatile, but short-lived in 2023, and with the RBNA firmly hobbled in place on rates it's difficult to see the Aussie maintaining bullish momentum without external support.

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Technical Levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.6663
Today Daily Change	0.0057
Today Daily Change %	0.86
Today daily open	0.6606

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.6476
Daily SMA50	0.6413
Daily SMA100	0.6482
Daily SMA200	0.6584

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.6614
Previous Daily Low	0.6567
Previous Weekly High	0.6591
Previous Weekly Low	0.6501
Previous Monthly High	0.6445
Previous Monthly Low	0.627
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.6596
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.6585
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.6578
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.6549
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.653
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.6625
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.6643
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.6672

Author

Joshua Gibson

FXStreet

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 after weak Australian PMIs

AUD/USD remains range-bound around 0.7100 in the Asian session on Wednesday after Australia's flash PMIs showed manufacturing slipped into contraction and services expanding slowly for a second straight month. Furthermore, a bullish US Dollar acts as a headwind for the pair as traders keenly await the crucial Trump-Xi summit on Thursday. Meanwhile, markets shrugs off US-Iran indirect talks.

USD/JPY stands firm near mid-157.00s, close to two-week high

USD/JPY hovers around mid-157.00s in the Asian session on Wednesday, near two-week highs touched last Friday as the BoJ's dovish rate hike continues to undermine the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains firm amid the Fed's hawkish stance, adding support to the pair, though JPY intervention fears cap further gains. Markets pay little heed to the completion of the round of US-Iran indirect talks ahead of Trump-Xi meeting.

Gold struggles near $4,350 as USD strength offsets softer bond yields

Gold struggles to build on the overnight bounce from sub-$4,300 levels and remains defensive in Wednesday's Asian session. The US Dollar sits near its July 30 high amid the Fed's hawkish stance and geopolitical risks, capping the bullion. Meanwhile, the recent decline in Oil prices eases inflation fears, keeping US bond yields depressed and limiting the downside in non-yielding yellow metal.

Bitcoin steadies after strong rally, Ethereum and XRP ease into consolidation

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) bulls take a breather mid-week after gains of 6%, 4%, and 13% so far this week. BTC consolidates at $86,300, ETH hovers around $2,751, and XRP is at $1.57. The price action of these top three cryptocurrencies suggests bulls remain in control, although traders may have taken profits after the recent sharp rally.

AI capex enters the Fed's inflation case with October hike pricing past even money

AI capex enters the Fed's inflation case with October hike pricing past even money; UK headroom halved and French CDS at post-2020 wides before either budget lands; Pezeshkian in New York with a Gulf slot scheduled and no Iranian bilateral. Monday priced the same AI buildout at two completely different costs of capital.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.