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AUD/USD climbs beyond 0.6500 mark, fresh three-week high amid subdued USD demand

  • A combination of factors lifts AUD/USD to a fresh three-week high on Thursday.
  • Reviving bets for more aggressive rate hikes by the RBA underpins the aussie.
  • Expectations for a less hawkish Fed weigh on the USD and remain supportive.

The AUD/USD pair attracts some dip-buying near the 0.6470 area on Thursday and hits a fresh three-week high heading into the European session. The pair is currently placed above the 0.6500 psychological mark and remains well supported by a combination of factors.

The Australian dollar is underpinned by reviving bets for a more aggressive policy tightening by the Reserve Bank of Australia, bolstered by Wednesday's stronger consumer inflation figures. In fact, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported that the headline CPI rose 1.8% in the September quarter and the annual rate accelerated to 7.3% - the highest since 1990. The US dollar, on the other hand, languishes near its lowest level since September 20 and offers additional support to the AUD/USD pair.

Market participants now expect that the deteriorating outlook for the US economy will force the Federal Reserve to slow the pace of its rate-hiking cycle. This is reinforced by the recent sharp pullback in the US Treasury bond yields and continues to weigh on the greenback. Apart from this, the risk-on impulse further dents demand for the safe-haven buck and benefit the risk-sensitive aussie. This, in turn, provides an additional lift to the AUD/USD pair, though the uptick lacks bullish conviction.

Traders now seem reluctant and might prefer to move to the sidelines ahead of the Advance US Q3 GDP report, due for release later during the early North American session. Thursday's US economic docket also features the release of Durable Goods Orders and the usual Weekly Initial Jobless Claims. This, along with the US bond yields, will influence the USD and provide some impetus to the AUD/USD pair. Apart from this, the broader risk sentiment might contribute to producing trading opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6513
Today Daily Change0.0016
Today Daily Change %0.25
Today daily open0.6497
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6363
Daily SMA500.6604
Daily SMA1000.6765
Daily SMA2000.6998
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6511
Previous Daily Low0.6372
Previous Weekly High0.6393
Previous Weekly Low0.6197
Previous Monthly High0.6916
Previous Monthly Low0.6363
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6458
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6425
Daily Pivot Point S10.6409
Daily Pivot Point S20.6322
Daily Pivot Point S30.6271
Daily Pivot Point R10.6548
Daily Pivot Point R20.6598
Daily Pivot Point R30.6686

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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