|

AUD/USD again battles 0.7200 following dovish Fed

  • AUD/USD seesaws around the fresh high since April 2019.
  • US Federal Reserve announcement came out as anticipated with Chairman Jerome Powell stressing fiscal support.
  • Dismal prints of Aussie CPI, an announcement from Queensland failed to defy the Aussie bulls.
  • Australia’s Export-Import Price Index and Building Permits will be the immediate catalysts.

AUD/USD stays on the front foot around 0.7190 at the start of Thursday’s Asian session. The aussie pair recently picked up the bid as the US Federal Reserve (Fed) reiterated the previous bearish bias amid the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis. Also fueling the quote could be Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference that emphasized on the need to act. In doing so, the quote shrugged off mostly upbeat data from the US, in contrast to Aussie inflation numbers, as well as the pandemic situation in the Pacific major.

Fed met consensus but Powell pushed for greenback weakness…

Policymakers showed grave concerns during the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting while keep flaunting the readiness to act, which in turn makes September meeting the key. Though, comments from Chairman Jerome Powell exerted additional downside pressure on the US dollar as he raised hopes of inflation targeting and further fiscal support. While the US central bank refrained from any action, September becomes important for the American monetary policy decision-makers after the latest announcement to stretch stimulus expiry from September till the year ends.

Other than the Fed, virus woes also weighed on the US currency as 1,200 deaths in a day, the highest since May, increased the American death toll due to the deadly virus beyond 150K. In Australia, Queensland will ban entries from Victoria starting from Saturday 01:00 AM citing worries over the pandemic.

It’s worth mentioning that the Australian Foreign Minister Marise Payne’s comments on having no intention to hurt the relationship with China offered additional help to the AUD. As a result, the AUD/USD prices ignored record slump in the second-quarter (Q2) inflation numbers while also paying a little heed to better-than-forecast US economics.

Against this backdrop, US 5-year Treasury yields dropped to a record low of 0.25% with the 10-year counterpart down to 0.577% by the end of Monday. Further, Wall Street cheered expectations of more stimulus and the Fed’s push for that despite deadlock in the phase 4 package talks in the US.

Moving on, Australia’s Import Price Index and Export Price Index for Q2 and June month’s Building Permits can offer immediate direction to the quote. However, major attention will be given to the qualitative catalysts and the US preliminary GDP for Q2.

Technical analysis

Higher high formation in a week favors the buyers targeting April 2019 top surrounding 0.7207 ahead of challenging the previous year top close to 0.7300. On the contrary, a four-day-old ascending trend line, at 0.7160 now, can offer immediate support ahead of 0.7065/60 area comprising July 24 low and June 10 high.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.7186
Today Daily Change29 pips
Today Daily Change %0.41%
Today daily open0.7157
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7014
Daily SMA500.6899
Daily SMA1000.6585
Daily SMA2000.6693
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7177
Previous Daily Low0.7113
Previous Weekly High0.7184
Previous Weekly Low0.6972
Previous Monthly High0.7065
Previous Monthly Low0.6648
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7152
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7137
Daily Pivot Point S10.7121
Daily Pivot Point S20.7084
Daily Pivot Point S30.7056
Daily Pivot Point R10.7185
Daily Pivot Point R20.7213
Daily Pivot Point R30.725

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.