|

AUD/NZD Price Analysis: Aussie stalls near 1.0800 as bearish pressure builds

  • AUD/NZD trades around the 1.0800 zone after modest gains ahead of the Asian session.
  • Bearish bias holds despite short-term momentum stabilizing.
  • Key moving averages above price reinforce resistance, while support remains close below.

The AUD/NZD pair edged slightly higher on Thursday, trading near the 1.0800 area as the market transitions into the Asian session. While the move shows mild intraday strength, the broader technical setup remains tilted to the downside. Mixed signals from short-term indicators clash with the clearly defined bearish structure shaped by longer-term trendlines and overhead resistance.

Technically, AUD/NZD is flashing a bearish signal. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence currently gives a soft buy signal, while the Relative Strength Index remains neutral just below the 50 line. The Stochastic RSI Fast and Average Directional Index are also neutral, indicating that despite the day’s gains, momentum remains capped and trend conviction limited.

The bearish outlook is underpinned by the configuration of key moving averages. Both the 30-day Exponential and Simple Moving Averages are positioned above the current price, capping any upward extension. More significantly, the 100-day and 200-day SMAs — aligned near the 1.0990 area — add longer-term resistance to the structure. The only supportive element comes from the 20-day SMA, which offers a soft floor just beneath current levels, but lacks the weight to counter the broader trend.

Immediate support is located at 1.0784, 1.0776, and 1.0760. Resistance awaits at 1.0804, 1.0820, and 1.0833.

Daily Chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tests 1.1800, closes in on a fresh two-month high

EUR/USD extends its gains for the second consecutive day on Tuesday and trades near 1.1800. The broad-based US Dollar weakness and a potential policy divergence between the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve keep the bullish bias intact heading into the holiday season.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3500 area, renews 11-week peak

GBP/USD extends its weekly rally and trades at its highest level since early October above 1.3500. The US Dollar remains under persistent bearish pressure heading into the Christmas break, while Pound traders largely brush off the latest interest rate cut from the Bank of England.

Gold approaches $4,500 as record-setting rally continues

Gold builds on Monday's impressive gains and advances toward $4,500, setting fresh record-highs along the way. Heightened geopolitical tensions, combined with the ongoing US Dollar (USD) selloff ahead of the Q3 GDP data, help XAU/USD preserve its bullish momentum.

US GDP expected to highlight steady growth in Q3

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will publish the first preliminary estimate of the third-quarter Gross Domestic Product on Tuesday, at 13:30 GMT. Analysts expect the data to show annualized growth of 3.2%, following the 3.8% expansion in the previous quarter.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.