|

AUD/JPY retreats from 83.70 as RBA keeps key rates unchanged at 0.10%

  • AUD/JPY has slipped below 83.50 as RBA has maintained the status quo by keeping OCR unchanged at 0.10%.
  • RBA’s decision is in-line with the market estimates of unaltered borrowing rates.
  • China’s upbeat Caixin Manufacturing PMI may strengthen the aussie post the volatility of RBA’s decision.

The AUD/JPY pair has slipped from Monday’s high of 83.72, as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) keeps its monetary policy unchanged, with OCR at 0.10%. The RBA has preferred to combat the turmoil from the Russia-Ukraine war rather than the soaring inflation.

The decision is in line with the market estimates. In the latest Feb. 18-24 Reuters poll, economists brought forward their rate hike expectations for a fourth straight month and expect the RBA to raise its key interest rate by 15 basis points to 0.25% in the July-September quarter.

Earlier on, the AUD/JPY pair was trading flat around 83.57 after easing from higher but held on its ground, awaiting the RBA’s monetary policy announcement to initiate further positions.

The cross showed a stabled upside move on Monday after a bearish gap opening led by peace talks between Russia and Ukraine towards a ceasefire. The chatters ended without any materialistic outcome. Although, the cross closed flat on Monday but pared its losses backed by optimism on the next round of Russia-Ukraine peace talks, which is due this week.

Meanwhile, China reported upbeat Caixin Manufacturing PMI at 50.4, higher than the previous print and market estimates of 49.1 and 49.3 respectively. This may help limit the losses in the aussie in comparison with the Japanese yen.

AUD/JPY Technical Analysis

On a four-hour scale, AUD/JPY is hovering around the trendline placed from January 05 high at 84.30. The 50-period and 200-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) are aiming higher and confirm the establishment of a bullish bias. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a range of 40.00-60.00, which indicates a consolidating move. However, a print above 60.00 will trigger bulls for further upside.

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price83.59
Today Daily Change0.12
Today Daily Change %0.14
Today daily open83.47
 
Trends
Daily SMA2082.59
Daily SMA5082.57
Daily SMA10082.81
Daily SMA20082.32
 
Levels
Previous Daily High83.71
Previous Daily Low82.76
Previous Weekly High83.84
Previous Weekly Low82.01
Previous Monthly High83.99
Previous Monthly Low80.91
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%83.35
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%83.12
Daily Pivot Point S182.92
Daily Pivot Point S282.37
Daily Pivot Point S381.97
Daily Pivot Point R183.87
Daily Pivot Point R284.26
Daily Pivot Point R384.81

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tests nine-day EMA support near 1.1750

EUR/USD loses ground for the fourth consecutive session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Monday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a weakening bullish bias, as the pair tests to break below the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.

GBP/USD softens below 1.3500 but retains positive technical outlook

The GBP/USD pair loses momentum near 1.3485 during the early European session on Monday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand. The potential downside for a major pair might be limited, as the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path.

Gold pulls back from record high as profit-taking sets in

Gold price retreats from a record high near $4,550 during the early European trading hours on Monday as traders book some profits ahead of holidays. A renewed US Dollar could also weigh on the precious metal, as it makes Gold more expensive for non-US buyers, pressuring prices.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.