|

AUD/JPY recovers to 50-day SMA hurdle as Asian stocks trade in the red

  • AUD/JPY is probing the 50-day SMA hurdle, having hit three-week lows on Friday. 
  • The Asian stocks trade in the red on fears of fresh coronavirus lockdown restrictions. 
  • Risk aversion favors a deeper drop in the AUD/JPY pair. 

While AUD/JPY has bounced up from three-week lows, it struggles to chart a convincing break above a crucial technical hurdle. 

The pair is currently trading around the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) hurdle at 76.30, having hit a low of 75.98 on Friday. That was the lowest level since Aug. 25. 

The pair is having a tough time scaling the 50-day SMA alongside losses in the Asian equities. As of writing, stocks in Australia and New Zealand are down 0.5%. The Shanghai Composite index is nursing a 0.26% loss, and shares in Hong Kong and South Korea are flashing red. The futures tied to the S&P 500 are also down 0.10%. Japanese markets are closed for a public holiday.

The risk-off tone could be associated with the resurgence of the coronavirus across the globe. Britain is already considering a new lockdown, while countries from Denmark to Greece announced new restrictions on Friday. 

Investors fear that new lockdown restrictions would torpedo the nascent recovery, and the situation would worsen if the US fiscal impasse over additional stimulus persists. 

The anti-risk Japanese yen will likely pick up a bid, sending AUD/JPY back to Friday's low if the stock markets continue to trade in the red during the day ahead. In particular, the US technology stocks could feel the pull of gravity as speculators have recently boosted their bearish bets to the highest level since April 2008. 

Technical levels

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price76.32
Today Daily Change0.09
Today Daily Change %0.12
Today daily open76.23
 
Trends
Daily SMA2077.09
Daily SMA5076.27
Daily SMA10074.43
Daily SMA20072.9
 
Levels
Previous Daily High76.86
Previous Daily Low75.98
Previous Weekly High77.51
Previous Weekly Low75.98
Previous Monthly High78.46
Previous Monthly Low75.1
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%76.32
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%76.52
Daily Pivot Point S175.86
Daily Pivot Point S275.48
Daily Pivot Point S374.98
Daily Pivot Point R176.73
Daily Pivot Point R277.23
Daily Pivot Point R377.6

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD consolidates below 1.1700 amid cautious markets

EUR/USD is holding steady below 1.1700 in the European trading hours on Thursday. The pair pauses its losing streak as the US Dollar consolidates the recent recovery amid a cautious market mood and ahead of the mid-tier US employment data. 

GBP/USD turns lower to near 1.3450 amid softer risk tone

GBP/USD loses ground to trade near 1.3450 in the early European session on Thursday. Markets turn cautious amid simmering geopolitical tensions and ahead of the US labor market data due later in the day. 

Gold sticks to intraday losses below $4,450; seems vulnerable to slide further

Gold maintains its offered tone through the first half of the European session and currently trades near the lower end of its daily range, down for the second straight day. The downfall lacks any obvious fundamental catalyst and could be attributed to some follow-through profit-taking ahead of the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report on Friday. 

Pi Network flashes bearish potential as selling pressure mounts

Pi Network trades above $0.2000 at press time on Thursday, following a nearly 2% decline the previous day. Centralized Exchanges have received 1.90 million PI tokens over the last 24 hours, suggesting risk-off sentiment among holders. The technical outlook for the PI token remains bearish, with a risk of a cross below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average. 

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI flashes bearish potential as selling pressure mounts

Pi Network trades above $0.2000 at press time on Thursday, following a nearly 2% decline the previous day. Centralized Exchanges have received 1.90 million PI tokens over the last 24 hours, suggesting risk-off sentiment among holders.