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AUD/JPY rally stalls after China trade data release

Weak Chinese export growth in December seems to have taken a wind out of the Aussie bulls. 

The AUD/JPY cross clocked an intraday high of 86.28 ahead of the data release and was last seen trading around 86.10 levels. 

Trade situation continues to face difficulty - China Customs

Exports in CNY terms dropped 2% y/y, compared to the expected drop of 3.5%. The slide in exports is not a real issue, given the anaemic global demand. 

The real cause of concern is 0.6% y/y growth in imports, which was well short of the expected figure of 2.7%. The poor performance of imports represents weak domestic demand and suggests the rebalancing process is still far from done. 

AUD/JPY Technical Levels

A break above 86.61 (Dec 12 high) would expose resistance at 87.00 (zero figure), above which the cross may test supply at 87.53 (Dec 15 high). On the other hand, a failure to hold above 86.00 (zero levels) would open the doors to 85.70 (5-DMA) and then to 85.29 (10-DMA). 

 TREND INDEXOB/OS INDEXVOLATILY INDEX
15MSlightly BullishNeutral High
1HBullishOverbought Expanding
4HBearishNeutral Shrinking
1DBearishNeutral Low
1WSlightly BullishNeutral High

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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